Reply to What Would It Take For Notre Dame Football To Join The Big Ten or The SEC ?

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]A couple of points:

If the Big10 added ND -- there would indeed be a renegotiation of the TV deal.  That is in the agreement -- any member gains or losses trigger a renegotiation

I don't see ND joining the Big10 unless the ACC implodes which it might.  The rights deal keeps the ACC together unless the schools vote to end the deal.  The SEC wants a bunch of schools but those schools are not enough to undue the rights deal.  I could see a set of schools looking to leave the ACC for the SEC and a set of schools looking to leave the ACC for the Big10.  Then payments to the others plus conference homes for them.  That would undue the rights deal.  I then think ND joins the Big10 although in that case the SEC will make them an offer.

But the Big10 and the SEC will have to take more of the ACC schools than they each want.  I do not think they have to take all but between them they will need to take 11-12 of the ACC schools leaving only 3-4 with cash ad other conferences.

BC, Duke, and Louisville would need SEC or Big10 homes or they would never agree.  I think Pitt, Wake, Syracuse could be bought off.  Maybe Louisville.  BC and Duke don't care about the money only the conference.
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How long before that ACC GOR becomes simply intolerable for the schools (FSU, Miami, Clemson, UNC) that would almost certainly be snatched up by the B1G/SEC. Tens of millions of dollars lost every year…[/quote]

It can be intolerable to FSU and Clemson, but if the majority of schools are looking at the AAC or Sun Belt they aren't voting to dissolve the GOR. Syracuse, Wake, Duke, and BC aren't doing better than the ACC. Pitt and Louisville would have an outside shot at the Big 12 if it decides to radically expand, but probably not both. Likewise, NC State, and VT know they are probably screwed and UVA is probably BiG10 or bust, but does the Big10 really want them? In 2035, the ACC probably disbands, but until then the bulk of the members have no incentive to placate FSU or Clemson  [/quote]

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