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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]How do they admit the same number when the applications are split up between ED, EA, and RD?

ED gets acceptance before the RD deadline.

They also don’t know who is going to withdraw because of getting in ED elsewhere.

I just don’t think it’s logistically possible to hit the same number of admissions from one school when there are three deadlines and ED at others schools as a factor. And how is anyone so certain that the same numbers gets in every year? Have you been tracking this for years? [/quote]
Are you asking how the college enrolls their target number of students every year?  They have yield algorithms, though the algorithms have basically blown up this year, broken, due to differences from prior years (test optional, corona).  Yield = total enrolled as a percent of total accepted.

For ED, their yield will be close to 100%.  They subtract ED acceptances off the goal enrollment number.  Then the remaining seats are divided by predicted yield to figure out how many can be accepted RD.  And of course it gets a lot more complicated than that, with waitlists, timing, all sorts of factors.

Handing these numbers, consulting for enrollment management, is a billion dollar industry.  It is a big deal.  I don't think even they know what to expect this year.  My rough understanding is that colleges not only have aggregate yield algorithms, but some attach a number to a particular applicant that predicts whether they will attend.  This is where interest that can be quantified into clicks and such comes into the picture.[/quote]

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