Reply to Study shows "Reopening schools associated with a 24% increase in R (spread)"; 2nd-largest effect

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Reply to "Study shows "Reopening schools associated with a 24% increase in R (spread)"; 2nd-largest effect"

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Well, it makes sense/isn't surprising.  Children can spread and get the virus, and schools bring larger groups of people together.  My sense from these threads is that some people will never give credence, or will try to explain away, any study suggesting schools might be contributing to the problem (probably out of fear schools will remain closed).

I think some spread in connection with schools is obvious.  The real question is how much spread or risk a community will tolerate to open schools.  [/quote]

This is the "common sense" school of scientific understanding. I know it feels right to say "but this group of people inside a space is dangerous so all groups of people inside spaces are also equally dangerous." The fact is that it doesn't actually follow, because we have to look at the characteristics of these groups, the types of spaces they are in, the activities they are engaged in, and the precautions they take. It turns out that when you look at two groups--the social gatherings that drive spread and schools--they actually have different R0s, risks, transmission rates, etc.

This is why you can't always make these leaps that SEEM logical. A lot of science and research seems logical on the surface, but when you look at it more in depth, you find that the nuances really matter.[/quote]

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