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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Fine.   Debate the issue on the merits of the science.  I was responding to the poster who "knew" the virus would kill 1% of the entire population of returning workers, a figure not envisioned in any of the worse case models.

But, you know, the "party of science" and all that happy horseshit.[/quote]

One poster does not make a generalization about a poster.  Clearly they were confused with the estimated 1% mortality rate for symptomatic infected and 1% of the population.  That said, careful modeling of universities suggests that they even with social distancing plans in place there's likely and R of 2  and that with the degree of contacts between people on campus it goes to a 60% infection rate very rapidly.  There are 20 million students enrolled in colleges and universities in the US, and then all the associated faculty, academic, food and custodial staff, local businesses that serve campus communities etc.  Even with a lowest reasonable mortality rate of .2  and the relative young age of the students, we're talking a lot of deaths.  Prisons are the closest similar case and there are less than 1/10 the number of total prisoners and associated staff and they have limited ability to infect outside of their institutions.[/quote]

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