Reply to Don’t vote for Joe Biden, guys, please!

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]
I agree 100%. I have no idea why the media and party establishment is pushing this narrative. Joe has run twice before and dropped out one other time before it began. He was a 1-2% candidate. He did not get any better since he last ran.[/quote]

Excellent point, which I failed to mention in my OP. Joe is a proven loser candidate.

I am so scared we’re going to make the same mistake again.[/quote]

Both failed presidential campaigns occurred before he spent 8 years as the VP to a popular 2 term president.  Obama spent the last 3 years in office with an over 50% approval rating after a decisive reelection win.  That experience, plus the way he handled himself in those 8 years and in that job have done a huge amount to bump up his public popularity.  He's a much better candidate now than he was back in 1988 and 2008.

The Democratic party had the momentum to win a 3rd term in the presidential office, but chose a defective candidate with a huge amount of political baggage.  Even with all of her massive baggage, she won the popular vote (in large part because she was the Democratic candidate) but the "anyone but Clinton" demographic was bigger than the "anyone but Trump" demographic.  Had the Democratic party chosen just about any other candidate, they probably would have easily won the presidency in 2012.

Right now, Biden is about the only candidate that can reliably win the election against Trump, the polls notwithstanding.  This is a strong economy which typically favors the incumbent.  The very liberal echo chamber that is the Washington DC metro area and DCUM is not a good indicator of the strength of incumbency.  The electoral college currently favors the president and picking anyone that polls as close to the incumbent as the other democratic candidates is folly.  Unless the progressive wing take their ball and go home like they did last election, the democratic base is about the same size as the republican base and will balance out.  Then you are looking at the moderate and independent voters and the majority of them will not vote for the extremists (Warren and Sanders).  Klobuchar is the best candidate, but she does not inspire a huge number of people strongly to campaign for her.  After that, the rest of them poll so closely to Trump, that it is just flat out dangerous to bank our countries fate for four more years on a coin toss.

Yes, the "beat Trump" mentality is strong, but only if you bring in a reasonable alternative that the political middle is willing to vote for.  I still hope that the ticket is Biden-Klobuchar so that she is well placed for 2024, but I think that's the strongest ticket available.[/quote]

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