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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]NP. People in that locked/redirected thread are way off the mark.

https://www.dcurbanmom.com/jforum/posts/list/1029053.page

"The fact that an entirely arbitrary percentage of a highly-vaxxed, low-risk population is "infected" is irrelevant to reasoned decision-making."

Yeah, so the percentage of people infected (that's a fact, scare quotes are insulting) actually does have bearing on making reasoned decisions. It kind of tells you how fast and how widely the disease is spreading. Weird, right?

Now, it's only one factor, I guess? It is *less* closely correlated to very high rates of death, thanks to vaccinations. But, yeah, monitoring infections tells you how many people are infected-- and infectious! With a disease that still kills people. And at the very bare minimum, renders many of them temporarily unable to work or go to school.  A small percentage of an extremely high number is still a lot of deaths. A significant percentage of a extremely high number is a significant disruption to the workforce, etc.

But no, of course infection rates have no place in "reasoned decision-making" about an... infectious disease.

(And, sure, school kids may be at relatively low risk, and MoCo may be highly-vaccinated. But MoCo school kids are not highly-vaccinated.)
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We are kidding ourselves if we pretend we know for certain how the next few weeks are going to go. David Wallace-Wells has a useful piece on this: https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2022/01/two-paths-for-omicron.html
Deaths are not decoupling from infection quite as expected.

We are also kidding ourselves if we plan for omicron giving everyone immunity and harkening some kind of second coming, and becoming endemic. These are theories right now, but there are also theories it could go the other way, so that omicron might not offer much lasting immunity, and that this coronavirus won't become endemic but just be pandemic after pandemic as new variants arise. The point is, we don't know yet, but there's an awful lot of people out there acting like we do.

It seems everyone has their data, "look at the data," but if you looked at the overall landscape, the data is mixed, science is messy in an evolving situation. We can't be so totally arrogant as a society that we place all our eggs in one basket in how this is going to go.
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