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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Almost half of foreign policy experts believe Russia, in its current form, will collapse within the next 10 years.  https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/content-series/atlantic-council-strategy-paper-series/welcome-to-2033/[/quote]

Foreign policy experts seem to tip-toe around the fate of Ukraine or present the rosiest picture. Will there even be a Ukraine in 10 years? Look at their demographics. They have 4X as many 40 year olds as 20 year olds. Their TFR is hovering around 1, and they lost 10 million+ refugees.

The Poles are openly talking about occupying Galicia and passing around maps of historic Polish borders, that include large chunks of what is now the Ukraine.

So foreign policy experts, what is the fate of Ukraine? Rump state? Divided up between Russia and Poland? Repopulated with people from elsewhere in the world? [/quote]

Not a foreign policy expert.

Both [b]Russia and Ukraine both have a birth rate under 2.[/b]

The size of Ukraine is 603,700 sq km (233,100 sq mi) and the size of Russia is 17,098,242 sq km (6,601,665 sq mi).

The population of Ukraine in 2021 is 43.79 million and the population of Russia in 2021 is 143.4 million.

That means there are 72.5 Ukrainians per square mile and 8.4 Russians per square mile.

It is estimated that there are at least 5:1 losses between Russia and Ukraine.

Ukraine is increasing their Order of Battle in state-of-the-art weaponry while Russia is decreasing their Order of Battle in state-of-the-art weaponry.

While the Polish and Ukrainian relationship is complex, it can be worked out diplomatically, whereas the Polish and Russian relationship is beyond all hope.

Who is in deeper trouble?[/quote]

Russia has a birth rate of 1.5 and the population is decreasing.

[quote] The country's birth rates have been in decline since 1994 when Russia was estimated to have 149 million citizens. By the start of 2022, its population was estimated to be 145,6 million, with 3,358 births a day being more than cancelled out by a daily death rate of 3,663, according to Statistica.[/quote]

https://healthpolicy-watch.news/russia-population-drop/[/quote]

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