Reply to A thread of optimism: why do you think Trump will win in 2020?

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]No POC will vote for t-Rump in 2020.  Same goes for women.[/quote]

OMG, are you this out of touch??  I’m a woman who will be voting for Trump in 2020 and the vast majority of my female friends - some of them even minorities (gasp!) - have said they will be too.  Your wishful thinking is getting you nowhere.[/quote]

Yay! one woman and a bunch of her stories make a great statistics. But thats not the case in 2018 and the average of polls has him at less than 43%.[/quote]

Keep on living in your bubble with your meaningless polls.  They've served you so well in the past.[/quote]

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/?ex_cid=rrpromo

Just play with his approval interface. You see it hits 43% and it goes down, again and again. So he has a ceiling of 43% but he also has a floor of 37%. So his "poorly educated" base returns his love and won't convict him even if he shot someone on 5th avenue.

But 43% isn't gonna win him the 2020 election. more than 50% swear they won't vote for him. Thats a big problem.

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/441103-poll-55-say-they-wouldnt-vote-for-trump-in-2020[/quote]

PP, Many trumpsters here don't like any stats, polls, numbers, probability. None of that is equal to their biased hunch. Let them be. :lol: [/quote]

:lol:  Do you people even read the whole article, or just quote numbers that you agree with?  Only 1,000 people were polled.  These are the results from 1,000 people.  And you're extrapolating them to the entire nation??  OMG.  Please wake up.
"The survey was conducted via phone from April 22 to 25 in both English and Spanish and [b]asked a random national survey of 1,001 adults[/b]. The poll carries a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points."[/quote]

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