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Reply to "Harris beating Trump in Iowa"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous] She oversampled Democrats in her poll. She admitted she doesn’t even weight for partisanship in her poll. What kind of reputable pollster creates a Democrat electorate in a state that has been leaning more and more Republican? Republicans gained in voter registration since 2020.[/quote] It isn't that she is oversampling democrats, it is that all of the other polls are oversampling Trump voters to compensate for the "hidden Trump voter" but that neglects the impact of Dobbs on the electorate.[/quote] So you believe everyone else is oversampling Trump voters, based on what? There is absolutely no chance there was a 20 point swing in Iowa between June and today. That is not possible. She has an approach, which is going to create some serious outlier results from time to time. This is one of them.[/quote] A catastrophic new landscape for the women of Iowa could absolutely produce a significant swing. Rolling back a fundamental right for all women after they have held it for 50 years has never happened, Ever. IF Iowa decided that [b]every man was going to donate a kidney on their 21st birthday if the state needed it[/b] you would see a similar swing. Iowa needs to mind their own damn business when it comes to folks decisions about their own bodies,[/quote] A very good analogy [/quote]
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