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Reply to "Harris beating Trump in Iowa"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Team Ann Selzer, Team Kamala and Team LADIES[/quote] Sing it loud I never feel confident about anything - but I feel very very confident that most pollsters have vastly underestimated how angry women are[/quote] I don’t think Selzer did, though. She told Mark Halperin that she oversampled older liberal white women. [/quote] She got the 2-1 Harris result among older women by hugely over sampling liberals. That result would be a massive shift from the 2020 and 2022 election results. It would only happen if only liberal women go to the polls and conservative women stay home. She admitted her poll could effect turnout. She is a liberal who released a poll oversampling other liberals in order to try to swing the election to Harris. [/quote] Flip POV is that liberal women have become more likely to turn out (because they are mad after the 6 week ban in Iowa coupled with worsening scarcity of GYN providers). Makes logical sense. [/quote]
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