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Reply to "Here is why we should close schools now."
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Sort of weird there's so much panic here but very little in real life, at least in my circles. Is it just a few doomsday posters?[/quote] Not to sound snippy but it's possible that no-one in your real life circle feels comfortable enough to share their concerns. Here are two Twitter threads for you to glance over. You may think they are doomers. They sound very reasonable and fact-based to me but it's been adapted for layman understanding and the Twitter platform's format. On why close schools: https://twitter.com/NAChristakis/status/1235204443362205699 On what the exponential nature of this disease's spread implies: https://twitter.com/LizSpecht/status/1236095180459003909 [/quote] Is there any evidence that covid-19 will behave like the flu as far as disappearing after a season? All of these links (and posters in this thread) seem to be acting as if it's known science that covid-19 will behave the way the flu does, and so closing schools will be a temporary measure that slows an epidemic. But why? It is entirely possible covid-19 will not act like the flu, and then what result? Do schools remain permanently closed? I'm not opposed to closing schools in a more widespread fashion, but I haven't seen strong scientific evidence that it will work the was people claim it will, and it will come with enormous social costs. The science that there is seems to be based on the flu, but don't it we already know covid-19 doesn't uniformly act like the flu, particularly with respect to transmission through children? What basis is there for assuming the flu models are correct here? [/quote] A question or you: you say "I haven't seen strong scientific evidence", but have you looked enough? Are you familiar with reading scientific literature on topics slightly outside of your lane? Have you read scientific articles, reviews, guidelines, on non-pharmaceutical interventions? Or are you just trying to keep the doomers occupied typing?[/quote]
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