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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Sort of weird there's so much panic here but very little in real life, at least in my circles.  Is it just a few doomsday posters?[/quote]

Not to sound snippy but it's possible that no-one in your real life circle feels comfortable enough to share their concerns.

Here are two Twitter threads for you to glance over. You may think they are doomers. They sound very reasonable and fact-based to me but it's been adapted for layman understanding and the Twitter platform's format.

On why close schools:
https://twitter.com/NAChristakis/status/1235204443362205699

On what the exponential nature of this disease's spread implies:
https://twitter.com/LizSpecht/status/1236095180459003909
[/quote]

Is there any evidence that covid-19 will behave like the flu as far as disappearing after a season? All of these links (and posters in this thread) seem to be acting as if it's known science that covid-19 will behave the way the flu does, and so closing schools will be a temporary measure that slows an epidemic. But why? It is entirely possible covid-19 will not act like the flu, and then what result? Do schools remain permanently closed?

I'm not opposed to closing schools in a more widespread fashion, but I haven't seen strong scientific evidence that it will work the was people claim it will, and it will come with enormous social costs. The science that there is seems to be based on the flu, but don't it we already know covid-19 doesn't uniformly act like the flu, particularly with respect to transmission through children? What basis is there for assuming the flu models are correct here?
[/quote]

You're correct - this isn't like the flu, and assertions that it will just "go away" in the summer are unfounded.  The point of closing schools is to slow down the spread, so our health system can keep up with patients.  When infections get down to a manageable level and we have built up our capacity more (things like a good PPE manufacturing and distribution volume) then schools can reopen even if there is some spread.  [/quote]

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