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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]The markets like certainty. On and off tariff policy is not certainty. Loss of independence of the fed is not certainty. Trying to fire its members to get low rates out of a handpicked choice is not certainty. We had an April crash and yes a subsequent rise after but the bottom line is the goal is to cut rates at really any cost even if inflation is rising. And it is rising. But true levels of inflation are also going to be misrepresented. Gold will keep going up. Markets gonna crash in less than 2 years.[/quote]

There is always uncertainty.  There’s been uncertainty for the entirety of Trump’s nearly 5 years in office because he’s a lunatic.  Stellar stock market performance.

Was there uncertainty during the global pandemic?[/quote]

Bottom line is we were trying to control inflation. Powell was actually a great Trump appointee. He’s basically the adult in the room. When he’s gone the Heritage foundation dude will step in a lower rates like crazy. We will also do QE to stimulate growth. I mean look at the price of gold in recent years. It’s steadily ticking up. Yes equities are doing well now. However, I am slowly hedging my stock positions into more defensive ETFs like GDE and IAUM. I also own Ethereum ETFs and Bitcoin ETFs and a bunch of regular azz “safe bet” index funds in my taxable. The point is all is well now. All will probably be fine and the S&P will fly up with lowered rates and QE, but we can’t just print money and throw in tariffs all over the place without economic pain coming in the mail. It’s coming. My gold will have me ready to sell and buy stocks when that crash comes. I do believe the market always goes up long term, but I am not sure Buffet’s advice to just stick your money in a low cost US S&P index fund and forget it forever is necessarily the best route in the future. It’s looking like international stocks will have their time in the future. Our allies are starting to do trade routes around us it looks like. We need to be reliable trading partners again.[/quote]

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