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Reply to "Kerch Bridge in Crimea has just been blown up. "
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][b]Strangely I think it will not have as much effect as one would expect.[/b] Changes in the Russian military (which won’t affect the outcome too much) and further decrease in tourism (anyone with half a brain already knows not to go there). But it won’t lead to using nukes or anything that drastic. Also, doesn’t really matter who and how. [/quote] You're either cognitively challenged or a Russian propagandist who knows the impact of that single bridge to the Russian military (or both). Russian troops stationed in Sevastopl and Simeropl will live or die (literally, not figuratively) based on whether that bridge is operational since it's one of the few rail transports available to Russian forces in Ukraine. Once that bridge is shut down for good, Russian military forces in Crimea will totally collapse, imho. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crimean_Bridge#/map/0 Russian troops near Kherson are having trouble keeping themselves supplied with ammunition, fuel, food as it is now. Most of it is being funneled through from Simeropl and Dzhankov, so there is zero chance of the Russian military logistics being able to reroute supplies through other locations. Sure, they could try using ships or planes, but we've seen how effective that's been in the past. They could also shift to trucks, but in general, a single train carries about 300 truckloads of cargo. The Russian military also lost too many supply trucks as it is, plus it burns up fuel to transport the extra distance, maintenance, etc. "Russia's Energy Ministry said Crimea has enough fuel for 15 days." https://www.cbsnews.com/news/crimea-bridge-russia-war-in-ukraine-damaged-key-supply-route-putin-birthday/ "A Russian tourist association estimated that 50,000 tourists were in Crimea on vacation on Saturday." "On Saturday, a Kremlin-backed official in Ukraine's Kherson region announced a partial evacuation of civilians from the southern province, one of four illegally annexed by Moscow last week. Kirill Stremousov told Russia's state-run RIA Novosti agency that young children and the elderly could be relocated because Kherson was getting "ready for a difficult period."" Any panicked Russian civilian minority in Sevastopl or Kherson can still retreat back to Russia, just via road instead of the bridge - which will make it even more difficult to Russia to supply their troops in Ukraine. My guess is that the Russian Army is frantically and actively suppressing any information about the bridge damage. Any Russian military forces not panicked by this new development, should be when they eventually get wind of this - especially with winter coming up.[/quote] Before you get even more excited at discovering how smart you are - you do realize it wasn’t huge damage and it was already apparent at the time of my post? I was wrong though. There are explosions damaging critical infrastructure right now all over Ukraine I just didn’t want to face the fact that there will be escalation I am now thinking that maybe the bridge affair was an FSB false flag thing? A pretext to bomb all the cities that weren’t bombed before? I don’t know [/quote] Utter nonsense.[/quote]
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