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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][b]Strangely I think it will not have as much effect as one would expect.[/b] Changes in the Russian military (which won’t affect the outcome too much) and further decrease in tourism (anyone with half a brain already knows not to go there).
But it won’t lead to using nukes or anything that drastic.
Also, doesn’t really matter who and how. [/quote]

You're either cognitively challenged or a Russian propagandist who knows the impact of that single bridge to the Russian military (or both).

Russian troops stationed in Sevastopl and Simeropl will live or die (literally, not figuratively) based on whether that bridge is operational since it's one of the few rail transports available to Russian forces in Ukraine.  Once that bridge is shut down for good, Russian military forces in Crimea will totally collapse, imho.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crimean_Bridge#/map/0

Russian troops near Kherson are having trouble keeping themselves supplied with ammunition, fuel, food as it is now.  Most of it is being funneled through from Simeropl and Dzhankov, so there is zero chance of the Russian military logistics being able to reroute supplies through other locations.  Sure, they could try using ships or planes, but we've seen how effective that's been in the past.  They could also shift to trucks, but in general, a single train carries about 300 truckloads of cargo.  The Russian military also lost too many supply trucks as it is, plus it burns up fuel to transport the extra distance, maintenance, etc.

"Russia's Energy Ministry said Crimea has enough fuel for 15 days."
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/crimea-bridge-russia-war-in-ukraine-damaged-key-supply-route-putin-birthday/

"A Russian tourist association estimated that 50,000 tourists were in Crimea on vacation on Saturday."
"On Saturday, a Kremlin-backed official in Ukraine's Kherson region announced a partial evacuation of civilians from the southern province, one of four illegally annexed by Moscow last week. Kirill Stremousov told Russia's state-run RIA Novosti agency that young children and the elderly could be relocated because Kherson was getting "ready for a difficult period.""

Any panicked Russian civilian minority in Sevastopl or Kherson can still retreat back to Russia, just via road instead of the bridge - which will make it even more difficult to Russia to supply their troops in Ukraine.

My guess is that the Russian Army is frantically and actively suppressing any information about the bridge damage.  Any Russian military forces not panicked by this new development, should be when they eventually get wind of this - especially with winter coming up.[/quote]

Before you get even more excited at discovering how smart you are - you do realize it wasn’t huge damage and it was already apparent at the time of my post?
I was wrong though. 
There are explosions damaging critical infrastructure right now all over Ukraine 
I just didn’t want to face the fact that there will be escalation
I am now thinking that maybe the bridge affair was an FSB false flag thing? A pretext to bomb all the cities that weren’t bombed before?
I don’t know [/quote]

It also could be a Lone Wolf from one of the many many prior Russian wars.  We tend to forget that there are a lot of families who will never forgive Russia.

If you look at this video, it appears that the explosion could have occurred from under the bridge. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6PNTifo2SJ8

For all we know, it was a Russian submarine or maybe Belarusian's that blew it up, since it looks like this single incident will also help destabilize Belarus?

The Belarusian leader said: "It will be more than one thousand people." He added that he instructed the KGB to carry out "anti-terrorist measures". 
https://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/1680585/putin-lukashenko-joint-troops-ukraine-war

On the surface, Moscow would like the world to believe that Belarus is supporting Ukraine, but listen to the video where Lukashenko is talking about pulling out Middle Schoolers from classes to harvest apples and potatoes to prevent prices from rising.  That means that they don't have the manual labor to do this.  That could also mean that these 1,000 troops are more symbolic (to help get rid of troublemakers) than an actual fighting force, if 12-year-olds need to be "mobilized" into the fields so that the people in Belarus don't starve this winter.

https://en.unesco.org/courier/october-2000/belarus-facing-disaster-alone
"The soil of Belarus alone absorbed two-thirds of the fall-out and some of the nuclides, such as caesium-137, stay radioactive for more than 30 years. Food accounts for 80 per cent of the long-term contamination of the population. Since the disaster, my institute has been systematically monitoring children with special spectrometers."

"After doing thousands of autopsies, Bandazhevsky and his team showed that caesium-137 had accumulated in muscle tissue, beginning with the heart. Two-thirds of the 2,000 children monitored in the highly-contaminated area of Gomel have heart problems. The concentration of caesium inthe kidneys has also caused serious mal-functions from an early age. Caesium in the eye muscles leads to cataracts. For example, a 1997 study in Svetlovisy, near Gomel, found that a quarter of children between 13 and 15 had cataracts."

"During pregnancy, the placenta in mothers-to-be stores caesium which irra-diates the foetus and after the birth, the mother breastfeeds the baby with conta-minated milk. This leads to several diseases, such as “Chernobyl AIDS,” which is an immunity disorder. The radio-active particles also combine with lead (which was used in 1986 to put out the fire and was then absorbed into the ground) to cause mental retardation and stomach ailments. We are heading towards a national disaster."

"They’ve lied to tens of thousands of Russians who have come from “hot spots” or crisis areas in the former Soviet Union to live in the contaminated region.¹"

"¹After the collapse of the Soviet Union, 25 million Russians found themselves living outside the new borders of Russia, mainly in Central Asia and the Caucasus where there was and still is war. The Belarusian government encouraged them to settle in the contaminated areas by giving them housing, jobs and resident status."[/quote]

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