Reply to Gov. Hogan confrerence at 5 pm, 5/27

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote]I support Elrich’s caution and prioritization of public health and hope he holds strong. [/quote]

Nope. And I don't even mind the result, I just think the metrics are goofy, the reasoning opaque, the date incomplete, and his assessment of the costs of closure half-assed. I wouldn't necessarily mind continuing the stay-at-home order in MoCo if I had any confidence in his methodology, but I don't.  And what's more I feel like the "stay closed" crowds are glossing over the glaring weaknesses in his approach, which makes me even less confident that were are going to have a competent response.[/quote]

I totally agree. Moreover, if people would actually LOOK at the dashboard (which I do every day) they would see that we are progressing on ALL metrics except for acute care bed utilization getting down to pre-pandemic levels, which is a ridiculous standard.[/quote]

I have worked in data modeling and analytics for over 25 years; study medical research.  This is not real data science, just something I could do quickly in Power BI.   There is no science committee, no data science, just a "I guess".    Compare that to Hogan's committee, Hopkins science, Scott Gottlieb, who is speaking everyday on research, nuanced looks at trends (and reasons for data outliars).  While you may not agree with all the points (I don't), I can follow the methodology and science.

I will give credit some credit to Moco that we are at least able to see some of the data now including positivity rates  (Though interesting there is no transparency on the nursing homes - even though just  5 of the NH accounted for the 25% of the deaths in Moco.  Sigh)[/quote]

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