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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]There are enough kids for both AAP programs to co-exist. [/quote]

Nope, and you know which one is going to take a nosedive.[/quote]

If LJ is such a great program (and I believe it is certainly a solid AAP), then why would it take a "nosedive?"  Are you assuming that there aren't any AAP kids in the rezoned LJ boundary?  Surely many of the 450 AAP kids at LJ come from the FCHS pyramid.

...ok... so I looked it up since I know you won't.  Some people just prefer to run around expecting the sky to fall instead of noticing the sun.

There are about 44 kids per grade who transfer OUT of the remaining LJ zoned elementary schools for AAP (at Mantua).  (source:  FCPS transfer report).
Camelot, Fairhill and Westlawn (still LJ feeders) have their own LL4 programs.  They have about 20, 13, and 20 AAP identified students PER GRADE (respectively) (source:  FCPS membership numbers from school profiles).

We can assume that SOME Madison pyramid kids and SOME Oakton pyramid will choose the AAP center (Jackson) over the LL4 program at TMS.  Right now there are about 50 Madison pyramid kids per grade at LJ.  Let's assume it drops to 25 kids per grade.

I did a rough estimate of AAP kids who were in the rezoning -- now have the option for TMS (1/2 of OES AAP, all of MWES-based AAP kids, and a smaller part of MRES).  These are the kids who have previously been in Jackson's zone.  My rough estimate (you can find it on the other long LJ/TMS thread) was about 52 kids per grade.  Let's assume that half of them in the future go to TMS and half choose Jackson.  25 kids per grade.

So, let's add it all up -- the AAP kids who are IN Jackson's actual zone + the kids who have the option to use the AAP center at Jackson.

44 + 20 +13 +20 + 25 +25 = 147.

Even when I take your assumption that many kids from Madison/Oakton pyramids will opt out of the AAP center at Jackson as true (which you don't know and I don't know yet), you still have more than enough kids to sustain a quality AAP center at Jackson.

Time to stop the fear-mongering and just send your kid to school.[/quote]

If you take out those 50 kids from Madison and Oakton though it's under 100 students. Thoreau already has around 100 students per grade in AAP and likely is getting 50 to 100 more. For a total of 150 to 200 students. If that is the case, why would anyone keep their child there eventually if there are no other kids going on to Madison or Oakton?[/quote]

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