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Reply to "Ukrainian victory over Russia is inevitable "
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]https://twitter.com/vtchakarova/status/1685578614517964800?s=46&t=RXug2E3wPuDEf8vlgSC9SQ From one of the very very very few eastern bloc analysts - who within an hour of prig’s tantrum — had sussed out that it was going to be a nothing burger [/quote] [b]I don't think anyone thought that Prigozhin's mutiny would overthrow the Kremlin. [/b] As it was happening, I personally thought he would stop at Rostov-on-Don, yet he went further than that. In a sense, yes, Tchakarova's statements (in a tactical sense) are correct, but I think the conclusion that Prigozhin's mutiny is a 'nothingburger' is incorrect (from a strategic sense). [/quote] You don't? Then you must have been deaf and blind. I don't have time to look up the links but practically every single member of the commentariat was beside themselves churning out stories that made it sound like Russia is tottering on the brink of collapse and Putin must be shivering the corner in a bunker somewhere. I called my sister in Moscow on that day. I wasn't even mildly worried but I wanted to get a real scoop. She said - "dunno what the deal is and don't care. My husband is at the country house tending the veg and I stayed behind to get a manicure. " That was pretty typical of the level of excitement these news caused locally. This doesn't surprise me. The coverage of Russia and Russian affairs here is so incredibly incompetent, I read in place of funny pages.[/quote] You're not surprised that local Russians don't get real news and/or assessments of the war? None of us are.[/quote] There are no real news here, only handwringing and wishful thinking. And her assessment turned out to be 100% spot on. Certainly more accurate than NYT that made it sound like world is about to burst into flames. Lol where’s Mark Ames when you need him.[/quote] Her assessment? Her blissful ignorance is not an assessment. As a direct result of Prigozhin's play, Wagner is in Belarus (to do what is unclear), Putin is reportedly building up private armies around Russia, and Prigozhin is somehow still sharing a stage with Putin. Just because your sister didn't get her manicure interrupted, doesn't mean nothing became of it. The furthest thing from that. You've reached a the point where you're obviously just pushing the Russian narrative here.[/quote] Her narrative "nothing important happened" is just as good as "something happened but I don't have the slightest idea what, so I'm going to just wring my hands and cry doomsday some more." Nothing has burst into flames, Putin's power is unaffected, and the regime is not collapsing - despite multiple pronouncements to the contrary. At least the nails are done.[/quote] It's really not. Your contrarian/devil's advocate shtick isn't really working any more (if it ever did). You seem happy with the current state of Russian affairs. So (as if we have any other choice), let's see how that works out for your country (Russia) and family.[/quote] I don't have a country. My personal views on the matter are unimportant other than the sun will still come up. I am merely pointing out a huge distance between the fainting spells among the commentariat (the regime is collapsing! whatever shall we do?) to the utter nothingburgerism on the ground. [/quote]
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