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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]I'm not really sure what is driving your predictions here. The births in DC was rising, hit a high in 2016 and is now at nearly its lowest ever. The waitlists are shorter now for many reasons but mostly because there are significantly less kids entering the lottery and a lot of upper middle class people leaving DC.

My prediction: Over the next 5 years -- some charters will be forced to close (looking at you CMI), most WOTP DCPS schools will get worse not better, as a lot of the middle/upperclass people flee dc in the next 3.3 years of this administration. MacArthur and JR will get even better -- due to financial uncertainty a lot of people WOTP that would have maybe stretched for private will opt into public options. in 5-7 years (hopefully with a positive administration change) -- things will start to shift and you will see things start to shift back to the incline from a decline...

[/quote]

While the birth rate has declined, a lot of that decline was in Wards 7 and 8, which probably won’t impact as many of the schools DCUM is focused on. Overall, the population of DC (so far) has been growing since COVID. This year is certainly different, but as a PP said, not all the people impacted by federal cuts reside in DC, have school aged kids/kids in DCPS, etc. I also think as the schools across the city have generally improved compared to 10 years ago, a higher proportion of kids being born in the city will stay for some or all of K-12. The PK frenzy has slowed, and there may not need to be as many charters filling those slot gaps in the future, but families are more frequently choosing to attend  their in-bounds school (when that is possible). [/quote]

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