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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]No, China has huge demographic problems. They’re not taking over anything…maybe geriatric care.[/quote]

Yes. China's population is in rapid decline. Demographically, they have an inverted pyramid - a gazillion old people and relatively few young people. No doubt they have been paying attention to Russia's war on Ukraine. Russia too has terrible demographics, though not as bad as China's. And Russia recently passed the million casualties mark. That includes roughly 250,000 dead and another 250,000 with crippling injuries. That's 500,000 men who won't be breeding. Even if Russia wins in Ukraine, they are f*&ked as a nation long term with these kinds of losses.

The Chinese leadership aren't idiots. They are mostly interested in wealth and global respect, and they lose both if they chose a devastating war with Taiwan. Plus, pre-1948 China has a long history of warlords and instability. The greatest threat to the Chinese leadership is an internal coup. It would be profoundly irrational for Xi to invade Taiwan, given the potential blowback and the precariousness of Chinese demographics. From peak population to 2050, China's population will have declined by 50 percent. And that's without war. They are not in a position to be idiots.  [/quote]

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