Reply to NYT: Profound increase in black voters who support Trump

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Serious question: how significant is the black vote? Black people are 12% of Americans, right? And the voting levels are generally lower than in other racial groups? 
So even if some black people change their mind and vote Republican, how significant is it?[/quote]

NYT has had some interesting content about this. They recently did a thing on it in their podcast called The Daily, that's worth a listen.  The black vote has been the most reliable for the Democrats, and that is shifting.  It's not a massive shift, but the fact it is happening among younger black voters is a sign that this may not be a voting demographic they can take for granted.  They go into why young black voters, especially male, are peeling off.  [/quote]

I’m a democrat and would never vote for Trump but I honestly think Biden keeps missing the mark.   I’m very worried and hope his campaign is taking these signs seriously. The DC democrats I know keep saying Trump “can’t win again”. In 2016 they said Trump can’t win” and we know how that turned out.   [/quote]

The NYT's news and commentary on this does suggest that they are taking these signs seriously.  I think when you consider that Biden has done aboutface on many of his central policies, it shows that they do respond to voter preferences.  I think the trouble that they will encounter is that in the first part of his presidency, he made a lot of statements that xyz policy is awful and racist, and then went on to adopt xyz policy.  I think depending on how people digest those messages, it will either be the thing that dooms him or the thing that redeems him.  The other issue is that they have worked very hard to shift the Overton window on issues related to gender and children, and it appears that has been a complete disaster in terms of voter acceptance.  [/quote]

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