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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Votes are being counted based on when they were received. I think old people are more likely to get their ballot in the day they received it, while working folks may have taken more time (like me.. I was on a business trip when it arrived).

Well, that's my hope at least... I figure older people more likely to vote for Elrich because of his great Covid lockdowns, including keeping public libraries and playgrounds closed while all surrounding jurisdictions had already reopened them.[/quote]
Elrich was always expected to do well with the mail-in vote. It is a demographic that generally trends older which favors him. What was unexpected is how well he would do.

[b]It is pretty clear at this stage that Elrich will win. [/b]The only question will be the margin of victory.

Hans Riemer should be ashamed of himself.[/quote]

Not yet, let's give it a few more days. If the trend continues, then yes.  But his percentage of votes was lower with yesterday's count than it was from Thursday's.   [/quote]
The idea that Blair is going to make up votes among the remaining mail-in and provisional ballots is far fetched. The mail-in voter population is not representative of the county as a whole. [/quote]

Elrich made up the difference with the first 2 days of mail-in ballots. It's just as possible for Blair to swing it the other way with the remainder of ballots, which is a larger number than what was already counted.[/quote]
You are failing to understand the point. [b]The mail-in population favors Elrich[/b]. The fact that he made up the difference easily in just two days means that he will probably continue to pull further ahead in the coming days.

It is no “equally possible” that the mail-in vote swings back to Blair because the average mail-in voter is an Elrich voter.[/quote]

So far, the mail in vote favors Elrich.  But only a small portion of it has been counted.   [/quote]

We have no idea if the mail in ballots counted so far are representative of all mail in ballots or if they sleep towards Elrich based on which precincts they counted first. My money has always been on Elrich winning but I haven't totally lost hope that Blair can pull this off.[/quote]
You are hanging onto false hope and as a result spreading misinformation. The idea that there is a “batch” of mail-in ballots heavily favoring Blair is fanciful.[/quote]

Not that poster, but nobody here can predict anything.  Including you.
[/quote]

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