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Anonymous wrote:Votes are being counted based on when they were received. I think old people are more likely to get their ballot in the day they received it, while working folks may have taken more time (like me.. I was on a business trip when it arrived).

Well, that's my hope at least... I figure older people more likely to vote for Elrich because of his great Covid lockdowns, including keeping public libraries and playgrounds closed while all surrounding jurisdictions had already reopened them.

Elrich was always expected to do well with the mail-in vote. It is a demographic that generally trends older which favors him. What was unexpected is how well he would do.

It is pretty clear at this stage that Elrich will win. The only question will be the margin of victory.

Hans Riemer should be ashamed of himself.

Not yet, let's give it a few more days. If the trend continues, then yes. But his percentage of votes was lower with yesterday's count than it was from Thursday's.

The idea that Blair is going to make up votes among the remaining mail-in and provisional ballots is far fetched. The mail-in voter population is not representative of the county as a whole.

Elrich made up the difference with the first 2 days of mail-in ballots. It's just as possible for Blair to swing it the other way with the remainder of ballots, which is a larger number than what was already counted.

You are failing to understand the point. The mail-in population favors Elrich. The fact that he made up the difference easily in just two days means that he will probably continue to pull further ahead in the coming days.

It is no “equally possible” that the mail-in vote swings back to Blair because the average mail-in voter is an Elrich voter.

So far, the mail in vote favors Elrich. But only a small portion of it has been counted.

We have no idea if the mail in ballots counted so far are representative of all mail in ballots or if they sleep towards Elrich based on which precincts they counted first. My money has always been on Elrich winning but I haven't totally lost hope that Blair can pull this off.

You are hanging onto false hope and as a result spreading misinformation. The idea that there is a “batch” of mail-in ballots heavily favoring Blair is fanciful.

Not that poster, but nobody here can predict anything. Including you.

You are applying hope versus basic reasoning. The overall population of mail-in vote was always expected to favor Elrich and Elrich is favored by older voters countywide. So if you are hoping that there are geographic pockets of pro-Blair elderly voters, they don’t really exist.

After Election Day, Elrich only needed to have a 2.5% margin the estimated mail-in ballots to make up Blairs advantage. About half of the mail-in vote has already been counted. You do the math on what margin Blair must win in the remaining vote to win.

If you do not believe me then I ask you to consider who would you rather be right now, Elrich or Blair? Not a single person would rather be in Blair’s shoes right now and that’s all that needs to be known.

The election is over.

And this is why we don't get nice things. Don't blame the morons running this county. Blame the voters.

Independent who switched to Dem just to vote for Blair. If Elrich makes it to the general, I'm voting for Sullivan.

Anonymous wrote:

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Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Votes are being counted based on when they were received. I think old people are more likely to get their ballot in the day they received it, while working folks may have taken more time (like me.. I was on a business trip when it arrived).

Well, that's my hope at least... I figure older people more likely to vote for Elrich because of his great Covid lockdowns, including keeping public libraries and playgrounds closed while all surrounding jurisdictions had already reopened them.

Elrich was always expected to do well with the mail-in vote. It is a demographic that generally trends older which favors him. What was unexpected is how well he would do.

It is pretty clear at this stage that Elrich will win. The only question will be the margin of victory.

Hans Riemer should be ashamed of himself.

Not yet, let's give it a few more days. If the trend continues, then yes. But his percentage of votes was lower with yesterday's count than it was from Thursday's.

The idea that Blair is going to make up votes among the remaining mail-in and provisional ballots is far fetched. The mail-in voter population is not representative of the county as a whole.

Elrich made up the difference with the first 2 days of mail-in ballots. It's just as possible for Blair to swing it the other way with the remainder of ballots, which is a larger number than what was already counted.

You are failing to understand the point. The mail-in population favors Elrich. The fact that he made up the difference easily in just two days means that he will probably continue to pull further ahead in the coming days.

It is no “equally possible” that the mail-in vote swings back to Blair because the average mail-in voter is an Elrich voter.

So far, the mail in vote favors Elrich. But only a small portion of it has been counted.

We have no idea if the mail in ballots counted so far are representative of all mail in ballots or if they sleep towards Elrich based on which precincts they counted first. My money has always been on Elrich winning but I haven't totally lost hope that Blair can pull this off.

You are hanging onto false hope and as a result spreading misinformation. The idea that there is a “batch” of mail-in ballots heavily favoring Blair is fanciful.

Not that poster, but nobody here can predict anything. Including you.

You are applying hope versus basic reasoning. The overall population of mail-in vote was always expected to favor Elrich and Elrich is favored by older voters countywide. So if you are hoping that there are geographic pockets of pro-Blair elderly voters, they don’t really exist.

After Election Day, Elrich only needed to have a 2.5% margin the estimated mail-in ballots to make up Blairs advantage. About half of the mail-in vote has already been counted. You do the math on what margin Blair must win in the remaining vote to win.

If you do not believe me then I ask you to consider who would you rather be right now, Elrich or Blair? Not a single person would rather be in Blair’s shoes right now and that’s all that needs to be known.

The election is over.

And this is why we don't get nice things. Don't blame the morons running this county. Blame the voters.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

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Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Votes are being counted based on when they were received. I think old people are more likely to get their ballot in the day they received it, while working folks may have taken more time (like me.. I was on a business trip when it arrived).

Well, that's my hope at least... I figure older people more likely to vote for Elrich because of his great Covid lockdowns, including keeping public libraries and playgrounds closed while all surrounding jurisdictions had already reopened them.

Elrich was always expected to do well with the mail-in vote. It is a demographic that generally trends older which favors him. What was unexpected is how well he would do.

It is pretty clear at this stage that Elrich will win. The only question will be the margin of victory.

Hans Riemer should be ashamed of himself.

Not yet, let's give it a few more days. If the trend continues, then yes. But his percentage of votes was lower with yesterday's count than it was from Thursday's.

The idea that Blair is going to make up votes among the remaining mail-in and provisional ballots is far fetched. The mail-in voter population is not representative of the county as a whole.

Elrich made up the difference with the first 2 days of mail-in ballots. It's just as possible for Blair to swing it the other way with the remainder of ballots, which is a larger number than what was already counted.

You are failing to understand the point. The mail-in population favors Elrich. The fact that he made up the difference easily in just two days means that he will probably continue to pull further ahead in the coming days.

It is no “equally possible” that the mail-in vote swings back to Blair because the average mail-in voter is an Elrich voter.

So far, the mail in vote favors Elrich. But only a small portion of it has been counted.

We have no idea if the mail in ballots counted so far are representative of all mail in ballots or if they sleep towards Elrich based on which precincts they counted first. My money has always been on Elrich winning but I haven't totally lost hope that Blair can pull this off.

You are hanging onto false hope and as a result spreading misinformation. The idea that there is a “batch” of mail-in ballots heavily favoring Blair is fanciful.

Not that poster, but nobody here can predict anything. Including you.

You are applying hope versus basic reasoning. The overall population of mail-in vote was always expected to favor Elrich and Elrich is favored by older voters countywide. So if you are hoping that there are geographic pockets of pro-Blair elderly voters, they don’t really exist.

After Election Day, Elrich only needed to have a 2.5% margin the estimated mail-in ballots to make up Blairs advantage. About half of the mail-in vote has already been counted. You do the math on what margin Blair must win in the remaining vote to win.

If you do not believe me then I ask you to consider who would you rather be right now, Elrich or Blair? Not a single person would rather be in Blair’s shoes right now and that’s all that needs to be known.

The election is over.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

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Anonymous wrote:

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Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Votes are being counted based on when they were received. I think old people are more likely to get their ballot in the day they received it, while working folks may have taken more time (like me.. I was on a business trip when it arrived).

Well, that's my hope at least... I figure older people more likely to vote for Elrich because of his great Covid lockdowns, including keeping public libraries and playgrounds closed while all surrounding jurisdictions had already reopened them.

Elrich was always expected to do well with the mail-in vote. It is a demographic that generally trends older which favors him. What was unexpected is how well he would do.

It is pretty clear at this stage that Elrich will win. The only question will be the margin of victory.

Hans Riemer should be ashamed of himself.

Not yet, let's give it a few more days. If the trend continues, then yes. But his percentage of votes was lower with yesterday's count than it was from Thursday's.

The idea that Blair is going to make up votes among the remaining mail-in and provisional ballots is far fetched. The mail-in voter population is not representative of the county as a whole.

Elrich made up the difference with the first 2 days of mail-in ballots. It's just as possible for Blair to swing it the other way with the remainder of ballots, which is a larger number than what was already counted.

You are failing to understand the point. The mail-in population favors Elrich. The fact that he made up the difference easily in just two days means that he will probably continue to pull further ahead in the coming days.

It is no “equally possible” that the mail-in vote swings back to Blair because the average mail-in voter is an Elrich voter.

So far, the mail in vote favors Elrich. But only a small portion of it has been counted.

We have no idea if the mail in ballots counted so far are representative of all mail in ballots or if they sleep towards Elrich based on which precincts they counted first. My money has always been on Elrich winning but I haven't totally lost hope that Blair can pull this off.

You are hanging onto false hope and as a result spreading misinformation. The idea that there is a “batch” of mail-in ballots heavily favoring Blair is fanciful.

Not that poster, but nobody here can predict anything. Including you.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Votes are being counted based on when they were received. I think old people are more likely to get their ballot in the day they received it, while working folks may have taken more time (like me.. I was on a business trip when it arrived).

Well, that's my hope at least... I figure older people more likely to vote for Elrich because of his great Covid lockdowns, including keeping public libraries and playgrounds closed while all surrounding jurisdictions had already reopened them.

Elrich was always expected to do well with the mail-in vote. It is a demographic that generally trends older which favors him. What was unexpected is how well he would do.

It is pretty clear at this stage that Elrich will win. The only question will be the margin of victory.

Hans Riemer should be ashamed of himself.

Not yet, let's give it a few more days. If the trend continues, then yes. But his percentage of votes was lower with yesterday's count than it was from Thursday's.

The idea that Blair is going to make up votes among the remaining mail-in and provisional ballots is far fetched. The mail-in voter population is not representative of the county as a whole.

You can't say that after everyone was forced to vote mail in last time, during COVID. We are used to it now. And the unprecedented number of mail in ballots shows that.

And you can't say that when the election was pushed into mid-July, during the height of vacation season, when many people had pre-booked vacations and have no choice other than to vote by mail in.

This year is not like every other year. At all.

It remains absolutely true that mail-in voters continue to trend older. The pandemic did not change that.

In fact, applying your own reasoning, the county making it easier to vote by mail may have increased the voting participation of older voters.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Votes are being counted based on when they were received. I think old people are more likely to get their ballot in the day they received it, while working folks may have taken more time (like me.. I was on a business trip when it arrived).

Well, that's my hope at least... I figure older people more likely to vote for Elrich because of his great Covid lockdowns, including keeping public libraries and playgrounds closed while all surrounding jurisdictions had already reopened them.

Elrich was always expected to do well with the mail-in vote. It is a demographic that generally trends older which favors him. What was unexpected is how well he would do.

It is pretty clear at this stage that Elrich will win. The only question will be the margin of victory.

Hans Riemer should be ashamed of himself.

Not yet, let's give it a few more days. If the trend continues, then yes. But his percentage of votes was lower with yesterday's count than it was from Thursday's.

The idea that Blair is going to make up votes among the remaining mail-in and provisional ballots is far fetched. The mail-in voter population is not representative of the county as a whole.

You can't say that after everyone was forced to vote mail in last time, during COVID. We are used to it now. And the unprecedented number of mail in ballots shows that.

And you can't say that when the election was pushed into mid-July, during the height of vacation season, when many people had pre-booked vacations and have no choice other than to vote by mail in.

This year is not like every other year. At all.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:It's fine. I rather like Elrich (a bit old, though).The others would be fine too.

Relax, everybody.

Huh? We've seen Elrich's actions. Why should we relax? I'm an independent who switched to Dem to be able to vote for Blair in the primaries. If he loses, I will straight up vote for the republican candidate who is better than Elrich.

Anonymous wrote:It's fine. I rather like Elrich (a bit old, though).The others would be fine too.

Relax, everybody.

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Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Votes are being counted based on when they were received. I think old people are more likely to get their ballot in the day they received it, while working folks may have taken more time (like me.. I was on a business trip when it arrived).

Well, that's my hope at least... I figure older people more likely to vote for Elrich because of his great Covid lockdowns, including keeping public libraries and playgrounds closed while all surrounding jurisdictions had already reopened them.

Elrich was always expected to do well with the mail-in vote. It is a demographic that generally trends older which favors him. What was unexpected is how well he would do.

It is pretty clear at this stage that Elrich will win. The only question will be the margin of victory.

Hans Riemer should be ashamed of himself.

Not yet, let's give it a few more days. If the trend continues, then yes. But his percentage of votes was lower with yesterday's count than it was from Thursday's.

The idea that Blair is going to make up votes among the remaining mail-in and provisional ballots is far fetched. The mail-in voter population is not representative of the county as a whole.

Elrich made up the difference with the first 2 days of mail-in ballots. It's just as possible for Blair to swing it the other way with the remainder of ballots, which is a larger number than what was already counted.

You are failing to understand the point. The mail-in population favors Elrich. The fact that he made up the difference easily in just two days means that he will probably continue to pull further ahead in the coming days.

It is no “equally possible” that the mail-in vote swings back to Blair because the average mail-in voter is an Elrich voter.

So far, the mail in vote favors Elrich. But only a small portion of it has been counted.

We have no idea if the mail in ballots counted so far are representative of all mail in ballots or if they sleep towards Elrich based on which precincts they counted first. My money has always been on Elrich winning but I haven't totally lost hope that Blair can pull this off.

You are hanging onto false hope and as a result spreading misinformation. The idea that there is a “batch” of mail-in ballots heavily favoring Blair is fanciful.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Votes are being counted based on when they were received. I think old people are more likely to get their ballot in the day they received it, while working folks may have taken more time (like me.. I was on a business trip when it arrived).

Well, that's my hope at least... I figure older people more likely to vote for Elrich because of his great Covid lockdowns, including keeping public libraries and playgrounds closed while all surrounding jurisdictions had already reopened them.

Elrich was always expected to do well with the mail-in vote. It is a demographic that generally trends older which favors him. What was unexpected is how well he would do.

It is pretty clear at this stage that Elrich will win. The only question will be the margin of victory.

Hans Riemer should be ashamed of himself.

Not yet, let's give it a few more days. If the trend continues, then yes. But his percentage of votes was lower with yesterday's count than it was from Thursday's.

The idea that Blair is going to make up votes among the remaining mail-in and provisional ballots is far fetched. The mail-in voter population is not representative of the county as a whole.

Elrich made up the difference with the first 2 days of mail-in ballots. It's just as possible for Blair to swing it the other way with the remainder of ballots, which is a larger number than what was already counted.

You are failing to understand the point. The mail-in population favors Elrich. The fact that he made up the difference easily in just two days means that he will probably continue to pull further ahead in the coming days.

It is no “equally possible” that the mail-in vote swings back to Blair because the average mail-in voter is an Elrich voter.

So far, the mail in vote favors Elrich. But only a small portion of it has been counted.

We have no idea if the mail in ballots counted so far are representative of all mail in ballots or if they sleep towards Elrich based on which precincts they counted first. My money has always been on Elrich winning but I haven't totally lost hope that Blair can pull this off.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Votes are being counted based on when they were received. I think old people are more likely to get their ballot in the day they received it, while working folks may have taken more time (like me.. I was on a business trip when it arrived).

Well, that's my hope at least... I figure older people more likely to vote for Elrich because of his great Covid lockdowns, including keeping public libraries and playgrounds closed while all surrounding jurisdictions had already reopened them.

Elrich was always expected to do well with the mail-in vote. It is a demographic that generally trends older which favors him. What was unexpected is how well he would do.

It is pretty clear at this stage that Elrich will win. The only question will be the margin of victory.

Hans Riemer should be ashamed of himself.

Not yet, let's give it a few more days. If the trend continues, then yes. But his percentage of votes was lower with yesterday's count than it was from Thursday's.

The idea that Blair is going to make up votes among the remaining mail-in and provisional ballots is far fetched. The mail-in voter population is not representative of the county as a whole.

Elrich made up the difference with the first 2 days of mail-in ballots. It's just as possible for Blair to swing it the other way with the remainder of ballots, which is a larger number than what was already counted.

You are failing to understand the point. The mail-in population favors Elrich. The fact that he made up the difference easily in just two days means that he will probably continue to pull further ahead in the coming days.

It is no “equally possible” that the mail-in vote swings back to Blair because the average mail-in voter is an Elrich voter.

So far, the mail in vote favors Elrich. But only a small portion of it has been counted.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Votes are being counted based on when they were received. I think old people are more likely to get their ballot in the day they received it, while working folks may have taken more time (like me.. I was on a business trip when it arrived).

Well, that's my hope at least... I figure older people more likely to vote for Elrich because of his great Covid lockdowns, including keeping public libraries and playgrounds closed while all surrounding jurisdictions had already reopened them.

Elrich was always expected to do well with the mail-in vote. It is a demographic that generally trends older which favors him. What was unexpected is how well he would do.

It is pretty clear at this stage that Elrich will win. The only question will be the margin of victory.

Hans Riemer should be ashamed of himself.

Not yet, let's give it a few more days. If the trend continues, then yes. But his percentage of votes was lower with yesterday's count than it was from Thursday's.

The idea that Blair is going to make up votes among the remaining mail-in and provisional ballots is far fetched. The mail-in voter population is not representative of the county as a whole.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Votes are being counted based on when they were received. I think old people are more likely to get their ballot in the day they received it, while working folks may have taken more time (like me.. I was on a business trip when it arrived).

Well, that's my hope at least... I figure older people more likely to vote for Elrich because of his great Covid lockdowns, including keeping public libraries and playgrounds closed while all surrounding jurisdictions had already reopened them.

Elrich was always expected to do well with the mail-in vote. It is a demographic that generally trends older which favors him. What was unexpected is how well he would do.

It is pretty clear at this stage that Elrich will win. The only question will be the margin of victory.

Hans Riemer should be ashamed of himself.

Not yet, let's give it a few more days. If the trend continues, then yes. But his percentage of votes was lower with yesterday's count than it was from Thursday's.

The idea that Blair is going to make up votes among the remaining mail-in and provisional ballots is far fetched. The mail-in voter population is not representative of the county as a whole.

Elrich made up the difference with the first 2 days of mail-in ballots. It's just as possible for Blair to swing it the other way with the remainder of ballots, which is a larger number than what was already counted.

You are failing to understand the point. The mail-in population favors Elrich. The fact that he made up the difference easily in just two days means that he will probably continue to pull further ahead in the coming days.

It is no “equally possible” that the mail-in vote swings back to Blair because the average mail-in voter is an Elrich voter.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I just reread the Bethesda Beat article. 34,000 have been counted, as in we know about them. The BOE guy said there were another 27,000 in their warehouse that have not yet been logged in are received. And the 9,000 provisional ballots, which couldn't have even been created until early voting, won't get counted until the 29th, by law. I am one of the provisional ballots. I did it during early voting because i never got my mail in ballot.

Those last 27,000 and 9,000 ballots are late enough to favor Blair. Similar to how early voting favored Blair. I certainly can't say he will win, but this isn't over quite yet.

The vast majority of provisional ballots are not counted unfortunately. If you want your provisional ballot to count, it is necessary for your to personally follow-up and submit appropriate attestation.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Votes are being counted based on when they were received. I think old people are more likely to get their ballot in the day they received it, while working folks may have taken more time (like me.. I was on a business trip when it arrived).

Well, that's my hope at least... I figure older people more likely to vote for Elrich because of his great Covid lockdowns, including keeping public libraries and playgrounds closed while all surrounding jurisdictions had already reopened them.

Elrich was always expected to do well with the mail-in vote. It is a demographic that generally trends older which favors him. What was unexpected is how well he would do.

It is pretty clear at this stage that Elrich will win. The only question will be the margin of victory.

Hans Riemer should be ashamed of himself.

Not yet, let's give it a few more days. If the trend continues, then yes. But his percentage of votes was lower with yesterday's count than it was from Thursday's.

The idea that Blair is going to make up votes among the remaining mail-in and provisional ballots is far fetched. The mail-in voter population is not representative of the county as a whole.

Elrich made up the difference with the first 2 days of mail-in ballots. It's just as possible for Blair to swing it the other way with the remainder of ballots, which is a larger number than what was already counted.