Reply to MSI - Not changing mask rule?!

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]But you need to look at this on the level of individual versus societal risk. The greater good is that risk of transmission in a community goes down.[/quote]

1.  It is NOT clear that the risk of transmission goes down as a result of mask wearing during soccer games.  The preponderance of the evidence is that there is no effect from masks at all in any environment let alone outdoors amongst asymptomatic children - although I doubt we will ever have absolutely conclusive proof in either direction.

2.  It is also NOT clear that lowering the risk of transmission is a good thing either.  The collateral damage from the continuing pandemic is shaping up to be at least an order of magnitude greater than the damage caused by the disease itself.  Rapid spread and getting the whole thing over with as quickly as possible would have been, and continues to be, in my view, the best strategy for society by a very wide margin.

Covid has lowered average life expectancy in the US by less than a week.  Our reaction to it has been absurd.

Latest CDC infection fatality rate estimates:  https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios.html

0-19 years: 0.00003
20-49 years: 0.0002
50-69 years: 0.005
70+ years: 0.054

These estimates still include all people with comorbidities and also do not account for pre-existing immunity which likely protects 80% of the population, so your actual chance of dying as an U19 is 6 out of every million, five of whom will be sufferng from other life threatening conditions.  In other words the risk of an U19 dying solely from covid is about half the chance of being struck by lightning.  The risk of them dying from covid acquired during a soccer game is obviously a tiny fraction of that since the vast majority of trasnmission occurs indoors as a result of sustained contact.[/quote]

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