Reply to Any chance if numbers are ridiculously good in August Hogan will override Smith?

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[quote=Anonymous]I know we all desperately want to believe that Maryland has it under control, and things are going to be getting back to normal.

I don't believe that they possibly can.  The reason I say that is that no other country has managed to get COVID under control while still allowing even the fairly low rates of transmission that we now have in the state of Maryland.    The countries that have it more or less under control all have rates of spread of less than 10 new cases per million per day.   Some far, far less -- like under 1 new case per million per day.   And when they see even a "small" outbreak involving community spread, maybe 30 cases per day for a few days... the intervene quickly and shut that hotspot back down for 14 days to squelch spread.

Montgomery County is really low spread right now.   221 new cases in the past week so about 30 new cases per day per million.  But Maryland as a state is high.  71 new cases per million per day.  And DC is high .... 61 new cases per million per day.   And when we have outbreaks, we aren't doing much to shut them down, and neither are our surrounding locations.   And with people going on vacations and returning to college from other locations, cases will only rise.

If people are allowed to pee in the swimming pool, you can't say one section of the pool is pee free.  IF we have spread in one part of the state or country we are going to have spread in all parts.  It might not come back to us for a while, but it will come back to us, and we are going to have to do another shutdown.[/quote]

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