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Reply to "How Likely Is Soccer in the Fall ? (with Games!)"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]The new projections are not look good. [b]It’s looking like this will still be going strong into the fall.[/b] I think they will open things up but not youth sports. [/quote] This is unsupported. What is "this" If "this" is coronavirus.... of course it will be going in fall. its here to stay. thats never been the question. but I do agree that it may increase in the fall. What projections are you referring to? Deaths will continue, this is inevitable. More positives will come- yes because they are increasing testing. The goal is for the overall daily/ weekly trend to plateau or decrease. Now in regards to youth sports-- who knows..thats the million dollar question. [/quote] [quote] Models Project Sharp Rise in Deaths as States Reopen An internal Trump administration report expects about 200,000 daily cases by June. The White House bars coronavirus task force officials from testifying to Congress without approval. As President Trump presses for states to reopen their economies, his administration is privately projecting a steady rise in the number of coronavirus cases and deaths over the next several weeks. The daily death toll will reach about 3,000 on June 1, according to an internal document obtained by The New York Times, a 70 percent increase from the current number of about 1,750. The projections, based on government modeling pulled together by the Federal Emergency Management Agency, forecast about 200,000 new cases each day by the end of the month, up from about 25,000 cases a day currently.[/quote] https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/04/us/coronavirus-live-updates.html [quote] An influential coronavirus model often cited by the White House is now forecasting that 134,000 people will die of Covid-19 in the United States, nearly double its previous prediction. The model, from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington, had predicted 72,433 deaths as of Monday morning. Relatedly, a Trump administration model projects a rise in coronavirus cases and deaths in the weeks ahead, up to about 3,000 daily deaths in the US by June 1, according to an internal document obtained by The New York Times. Over the past week, about 2,000 people died daily in the US, according to data from Johns Hopkins University.[/quote] https://www.cnn.com/2020/05/04/health/us-coronavirus-monday/index.html The new projections reflect the opening up of states. These models do not reflect more testing, many states have reduced testing because they are having problems assembling everything needed for a test. With just some of the less hard hit states opening the death projections have double. They estimate the US is at 5-15% exposure and we need to get to 60-70% to slow the virus. I was thinking things would start to get back to normal in June but now I do not. I do not see youth sports starting till the spring. [/quote]
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