Reply to So how far is the DMV from Phase 1 opening?

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Nothing is opening up anytime soon. My dh’s federal building just finally closed to everyone this week, and those who were in the office last week are currently quarantined because someone who was there just tested positive.

How on earth are they talking about opening up when things are still shutting down and 2,000 people in the US are dying each day? It’s too soon. [/quote]

The daily deaths lag behind by a week or two. Not the number to look at for this decision.[/quote]

+1  You look at multiple factors - increase in cases (though case numbers are prob the least accurate)  rate of testing, positive rates on testing, increase in hospitalizations,  as well as deaths. You look at it in a geogrpahic area as a percent of population.  Those in public health have more detailed numbers so they can see more data and know the lead / lag times.  As they understand the disease better - and - the reporting is better - they can probably model it better with more factors

This type of analysis isn't unique to the US.  European countries are doing the same.   And you really need to look at it state by state.  Its similar to Europe - no one is screaming that the entire continent has to wait to the same time to open up  (that said crossing borders is an issue compared to the US and crossing state borders). [/quote]

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