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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]NP here. OP the most likely outcome is: - Rs maintain control of House in 2018 - Rs pick up Senate seats in 2018 (probably not enough to overcome legislative fillibuster) - Ds fail to field a viable candidate in 2020 and no prominent R challenges Trump; Trump wins re-election in 2020 - Trump appoints replacements for RBG and Kennedy, either before or after 2020 - Mueller finds some dirt on peripheral Trumpworld people like Flyn, but no finding of criminal wrongdoing for Trump - Rs continue to dominate state politics able to maintain gerrymanderimg following 2020 census (SCOTUS is a wildcard on this point) These are my predictions based on my reading of the political realities and the publicly available facts. The big wildcard, as another poster pointed out, is Trump's health over the next 7.5 years. [/quote] Adding: I read the article and it's very weakly argued. First, if Trump is truly worried about his family going to jail then he'll stay in power as long as he can in order to pardon them. He is distrustful of other people and would never rely on assurances that his family would be pardoned or spared if he resigned. Second, the professor's main idea is that Trump's pressure on Comey will be the basis for criminal charges. This is highly unrealistic. [/quote]
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