Reply to "Opening up" means risking your life

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[quote=Anonymous]So here's my take.

None of the phase 1, 2, or 3 stuff will work without proper testing.  And that's testing that actually works.  These could be a variety of tests, but we'll have to do better than the botched CDC test that contributed to a month delay in testing.  That was pathetic.   These tests also really need to be easy to use.  When will these tests be readily available?  I hope within a month.  Then we can do the all-important tracing and quarantining on the big scale we need to.

The thing I'm struggling with is the competing theories about large numbers of cases that are asymptomatic or "mild."  Studies from Germany, one county in CA (can't remember which one), and perhaps the Diamond Princess cruise ship numbers lean in the direction of saying that there a lot of folks out there with the virus who didn't even know they had this or had mild cases.  To be sure, there's contrary evidence and we just don't know.  IF the number of serious cases and death rate is low, then a reasonable appraisal regarding reopening could be made, assuming, of course, that people take the necessary precautions and vulnerable groups voluntarily self-quarantine.

We need more time to see.  We have to wait at least until June (at the earliest) to even think about gradual reopenings.  Then, perhaps, warmer weather may also help.  Inconclusive on that point, obviously.  I believe the scientists who are optimistic about a vaccine being ready in 12-18 months.

This is in politics, so I assume that people's political preferences are guiding their recommendations.  Here are mine.  Trump will lose, rightly, over this, because he bungled the response (and for all the other reasons).  People are just sick of seeing him and listening to his voice.  I supported Bernie.  I can't stand the fact that the Democrats are running with a corporate establishment figure.  That's my full disclosure.

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