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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Can someone explain why McLean HD goes around Pimmit Hills? It makes no sense as it puts it on an island, while under scenario 4 there is a McLean island to the east of the Marshall HS district.  [/quote]
Part of Pimmit Hills walks to Marshall. Technically, if assigned, part of Pimmit Hills would walk to McLean. Instead of splitting the neighborhood, everyone is sent to Marshall. McLean doesn’t have the capacity to take the whole neighborhood, even if they dropped the Timber Lane island. [/quote]

Under Scenarios 1-3 part of Pimmit Hills was supposed to go to McLean HS, so clearly they understand that a portion can walk to McLean. It seems very odd to do a complete 180. [/quote]
Actually the portion that could walk to McLean has never been recommended for McLean HS. It’s a portion of Westgate that’s across Magarity from the Commons of McLean. The McLean assigned portion of Westgate are walkers. If they understood that portion, they’d have split the neighborhood by Griffith Rd. Then the Lemon Road and Westgate splits would have been more evenly split, and they’d pick up McLean walkers without losing Marshall ones. [/quote]

That was my thought. Use Griffin and Peabody as they offer a nice cut off area for McLean. It eliminates the peninsula area of Pimmit Hills(which is surrounded by McLean boundary) and I do not think would add a lot of students. [/quote]
Based on the Kent Garden study, it would move about 100 students from Marshall to McLean. McLean would be at 105% capacity with modulars. It would make Lemon Road about 40/60 McLean/Marshall split and Westgate a 35/65 split.

The only way I see them doing it (aside from pure apathy at appeasing any and all requests) is if Kilmer capacity can’t be resolved through Thoreau, which I don’t think is the case.

Assuming TOV gets their way and the Wolftrap/Westbriar swap is undone, Kilmer’s boundaries will essentially look like Marshall’s existing boundaries without the Stenwood cutout. That would put both Kilmer and Thoreau at around 103% each (if my math on the current Kilmer split is correct… Thru states 12% to Madison in their change log.) So they’d both be “in the clear” capacity wise.

I don’t see them pushing McLean to their capacity threshold (105%) to get Kilmer capacity under 100% but it’s not outside the realm of possibility. Especially since Madison rejected modeling the Thoreau-Marshall students to Madison because they worried it would add too much capacity (it wouldn’t.)[/quote]

Unless you're on the BRAC and have access to data not available to most, it seems like it would be hard to know the impact of this proposal with any certainty.  The numbers for the SPAs in the Kent Gardens study were for K-6 enrollment, not the high school enrollments.  You can pro-rate, but it's quite imprecise since there are KG families who may go private for high school or only start sending their kids to public school in high school.  Also, Thru and the BRAC still appear to be working with September 2024 numbers and it's unclear they will update to use fall 2025 numbers.

The initial proposals for Marshall and McLean were so bad that I think they've been beating a retreat ever since.  Insofar as Scenario 4 is concerned, Longfellow/McLean just lose the Spring Hill island in Tysons, and those families won't complain about moving to Cooper/Langley with the other 62% at Spring Hill.  The Marshall boundaries still seem to be up in the air.  The Madison parents in Vienna are fighting a move to Marshall, [b]there's a group of Lemon Road parents pushing now to get moved from Marshall to McLean after other Lemon Road parents fought earlier to stay at Marshall and not move to McLean[/b], and Scenario 4 leaves the Westbriar island even more isolated.  [/quote]

That group of Lemon Road parents is taking it a step further and aggressively lobbying to push the LR families in the townhomes and apartments next to Marshall out of Lemon Road, under the flimsy guise of eliminating a split feeder… conveniently omitting the fact that as an AAP center, LR will remain a split feeder. [/quote]

I don't think that group of Marshall parents will get much traction, but I also don't think they were motivated by a desire to push kids in apartments and townhouses out of their elementary school because they live in apartments and townhouses, which you seemed to be suggesting.  I think they just wanted to eliminate what they saw as the impediment to getting Lemon Road rezoned to McLean, as proposed in Scenario 3, since it was the parents who lived near Marshall in those townhouses and apartments who objected the most.

But there are lots of connected pieces and, if they got their way, they might be putting Timber Lane north of Route 29 back in play to move to Falls Church, and that group appears to have prevailed.  
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