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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]I woke up today with a terrible thought: What if Manchin and Sinema switch parties.

They won't, will they? If they did that and Warnock wins reelection then they would def be worse off than they are now.  But if Walker wins, and both of them switched, it would make the difference. It would have to be both, though.

I guess there's some part of me worried that the constant hectoring at them is going to make them susceptible to whatever McTurtle can offer.

Talk me down, will you?[/quote]

Manchin will not switch.  He wins reelection by getting the Democratic votes and some of the moderate Republican vote.  If he switches parties, that will be his last term in office.  He cannot win a Republican primary in WV.  He will be primaried from the right and lose.  However, if he stays as a Democrat, he is essentially assured of reelection.

Sinema is in office until 2026 and based on her flipflopping, and the fact that she has changed many of her positions in office from when she campaigned, she may be an underdog in the 2026 primaries.  Her position in-state is precarious for her reelection, but she's safe for the next 4 years.[/quote]

This is the PP - and phew, yes, what you are saying makes sense.

I just feel like we're in the horror movie where we think we've vanquished the monster, only there's still half an hour left in the movie to go.[/quote]

Of course that's the situation  Biden still has two years in office with a Republican slim margin lead in the House.  McCarthy as Speaker (or worse, one of the Trump MAGA candidates) is going to be difficult.  The January 6 committee is going to be disbanded and anything that is not completed by the holidays will be canceled.  McConnell is a thorn in the Senate's paw.  He will be as divisive and obstructive as possible and even as the minority leader, he can be difficult.  With the most political SCOTUS that we've had in history, this is a very antagonistic government for Biden.

Biden is going to have the second half of his term in office waiting for the other shoe to drop every day.[/quote]

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