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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Yougov just posted June 2nd through 4th.

Tied race, with trump +1% since week prior. I think they are a top pollster, which is frightening.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/
[/quote]

The polls are mixed, but it seems that Biden got more of a bump from the NY trial than Trump.  But it's still early.  I think as it settles in, and especially if/when Trump's appeal is rejected or denied, then it will become a bigger deal.

[url]https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2024/06/trump-vs-biden-2024-election-polling-postverdict-felony-conviction.html[/url]

[quote]As of Monday afternoon, three national polls of registered voters, conducted entirely after the verdict, have been released.

Reuters/Ipsos found Biden leading Trump 41–39, a slight shift from the 40–40 tie it reported three weeks ago. (With a margin of error of +/- 2.1 percentage points, that’s still basically a tie.)

Forbes/HarrisX found Trump leading 51–49, a slight shift from the 50–50 tie it found in late March. (The poll’s margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. The reason those numbers are higher than Reuters/Ipsos’ is that they include “leaners,” who aren’t fully certain of their candidate choice.)

Morning Consult’s postverdict survey found Biden leading 45–44, a shift from the result of its previous weekly tracking poll (a 44–42 Trump lead) but still effectively a tie.

Add everything together, and Trump’s lead over Biden in the RealClearPolitics polling average has moved ever so slightly from 0.9 percent on the morning of the verdict to 0.5 percent as of Monday afternoon. What a roller coaster![/quote]

But slightly more significant (IMHO) is that a majority between 54-57% of Americans polled in several polls think that the verdict was correct and on average, a little over 50% of people polled think he needs to end his campaign.  Not surprisingly that is party dependant, with ballpark 30% of Republicans, over 50% of Independants and near 70% of Democrats thinking he needs to end his campaign.  I think the longer he tries to push his campaign and without any reversal of the conviction, that the more likely his support will continue to shrink.  His campaign is on a life-line that is going to go away.  The key swing voters are leaning more towards voting against Trump than ever before.  If they can't change the messaging, the swing voters and swing states are going to erode from Trump.[/quote]

The truly sad part is that even as a convicted felon, and being someone who supported an insurrection that got law enforcement officers killed and has bragged about grabby women's pussies, he still has a higher favorability than Joe Biden.[/quote]

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