Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:eww

The psychological unraveling continues....

It's really something to watch it without the sound turned on--his mouth looks like a pulsating butthole (please excuse the graphic image but that is what comes to mind).

Anonymous wrote:eww

Anonymous wrote:NYPD canceling trump’s carry permit and collecting his guns. Felons aren’t permitted weapons.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Yougov just posted June 2nd through 4th.

Tied race, with trump +1% since week prior. I think they are a top pollster, which is frightening.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/

The polls are mixed, but it seems that Biden got more of a bump from the NY trial than Trump. But it's still early. I think as it settles in, and especially if/when Trump's appeal is rejected or denied, then it will become a bigger deal.

https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2024/06/trump-vs-biden-2024-election-polling-postverdict-felony-conviction.html

As of Monday afternoon, three national polls of registered voters, conducted entirely after the verdict, have been released.

Reuters/Ipsos found Biden leading Trump 41–39, a slight shift from the 40–40 tie it reported three weeks ago. (With a margin of error of +/- 2.1 percentage points, that’s still basically a tie.)

Forbes/HarrisX found Trump leading 51–49, a slight shift from the 50–50 tie it found in late March. (The poll’s margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. The reason those numbers are higher than Reuters/Ipsos’ is that they include “leaners,” who aren’t fully certain of their candidate choice.)

Morning Consult’s postverdict survey found Biden leading 45–44, a shift from the result of its previous weekly tracking poll (a 44–42 Trump lead) but still effectively a tie.

Add everything together, and Trump’s lead over Biden in the RealClearPolitics polling average has moved ever so slightly from 0.9 percent on the morning of the verdict to 0.5 percent as of Monday afternoon. What a roller coaster!

But slightly more significant (IMHO) is that a majority between 54-57% of Americans polled in several polls think that the verdict was correct and on average, a little over 50% of people polled think he needs to end his campaign. Not surprisingly that is party dependant, with ballpark 30% of Republicans, over 50% of Independants and near 70% of Democrats thinking he needs to end his campaign. I think the longer he tries to push his campaign and without any reversal of the conviction, that the more likely his support will continue to shrink. His campaign is on a life-line that is going to go away. The key swing voters are leaning more towards voting against Trump than ever before. If they can't change the messaging, the swing voters and swing states are going to erode from Trump.

The truly sad part is that even as a convicted felon, and being someone who supported an insurrection that got law enforcement officers killed and has bragged about grabby women's pussies, he still has a higher favorability than Joe Biden.

Biden’s favorability rating exceeded former President Donald Trump’s for the fifth straight week in a row, the longest stretch since April of last year, according to a Morning Consult survey taken Friday through Sunday

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Yougov just posted June 2nd through 4th.

Tied race, with trump +1% since week prior. I think they are a top pollster, which is frightening.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/

The polls are mixed, but it seems that Biden got more of a bump from the NY trial than Trump. But it's still early. I think as it settles in, and especially if/when Trump's appeal is rejected or denied, then it will become a bigger deal.

https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2024/06/trump-vs-biden-2024-election-polling-postverdict-felony-conviction.html

As of Monday afternoon, three national polls of registered voters, conducted entirely after the verdict, have been released.

Reuters/Ipsos found Biden leading Trump 41–39, a slight shift from the 40–40 tie it reported three weeks ago. (With a margin of error of +/- 2.1 percentage points, that’s still basically a tie.)

Forbes/HarrisX found Trump leading 51–49, a slight shift from the 50–50 tie it found in late March. (The poll’s margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. The reason those numbers are higher than Reuters/Ipsos’ is that they include “leaners,” who aren’t fully certain of their candidate choice.)

Morning Consult’s postverdict survey found Biden leading 45–44, a shift from the result of its previous weekly tracking poll (a 44–42 Trump lead) but still effectively a tie.

Add everything together, and Trump’s lead over Biden in the RealClearPolitics polling average has moved ever so slightly from 0.9 percent on the morning of the verdict to 0.5 percent as of Monday afternoon. What a roller coaster!

But slightly more significant (IMHO) is that a majority between 54-57% of Americans polled in several polls think that the verdict was correct and on average, a little over 50% of people polled think he needs to end his campaign. Not surprisingly that is party dependant, with ballpark 30% of Republicans, over 50% of Independants and near 70% of Democrats thinking he needs to end his campaign. I think the longer he tries to push his campaign and without any reversal of the conviction, that the more likely his support will continue to shrink. His campaign is on a life-line that is going to go away. The key swing voters are leaning more towards voting against Trump than ever before. If they can't change the messaging, the swing voters and swing states are going to erode from Trump.

The truly sad part is that even as a convicted felon, and being someone who supported an insurrection that got law enforcement officers killed and has bragged about grabby women's pussies, he still has a higher favorability than Joe Biden.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:i'm not that smart so what do you guys think. trump's hand picked candidate losing to a moderate, gay republican in this senate primary - is that a good sign for trump? means it's maga all the way down? i can't tell.

But the felon had 100,000 people at his NJ rally. I thought NJ was MAGA now.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Yougov just posted June 2nd through 4th.

Tied race, with trump +1% since week prior. I think they are a top pollster, which is frightening.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/

The polls are mixed, but it seems that Biden got more of a bump from the NY trial than Trump. But it's still early. I think as it settles in, and especially if/when Trump's appeal is rejected or denied, then it will become a bigger deal.

https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2024/06/trump-vs-biden-2024-election-polling-postverdict-felony-conviction.html

As of Monday afternoon, three national polls of registered voters, conducted entirely after the verdict, have been released.

Reuters/Ipsos found Biden leading Trump 41–39, a slight shift from the 40–40 tie it reported three weeks ago. (With a margin of error of +/- 2.1 percentage points, that’s still basically a tie.)

Forbes/HarrisX found Trump leading 51–49, a slight shift from the 50–50 tie it found in late March. (The poll’s margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. The reason those numbers are higher than Reuters/Ipsos’ is that they include “leaners,” who aren’t fully certain of their candidate choice.)

Morning Consult’s postverdict survey found Biden leading 45–44, a shift from the result of its previous weekly tracking poll (a 44–42 Trump lead) but still effectively a tie.

Add everything together, and Trump’s lead over Biden in the RealClearPolitics polling average has moved ever so slightly from 0.9 percent on the morning of the verdict to 0.5 percent as of Monday afternoon. What a roller coaster!

But slightly more significant (IMHO) is that a majority between 54-57% of Americans polled in several polls think that the verdict was correct and on average, a little over 50% of people polled think he needs to end his campaign. Not surprisingly that is party dependant, with ballpark 30% of Republicans, over 50% of Independants and near 70% of Democrats thinking he needs to end his campaign. I think the longer he tries to push his campaign and without any reversal of the conviction, that the more likely his support will continue to shrink. His campaign is on a life-line that is going to go away. The key swing voters are leaning more towards voting against Trump than ever before. If they can't change the messaging, the swing voters and swing states are going to erode from Trump.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:34 down, 57 more to go.

The FL stolen documents trial will take place after the election. Trump will lose and Judge Cannon will have nothing to gain by yielding to MAGA. A Navy Commander received ten years for ONE document last week in a federal FL court. Trump and his lawyers didn't think this through very well when they were rallying for delay.

When he loses in November, the cheeto will flame out, consumed by his hatred and the fast approaching accountability for his mountain of crimes.

I'm starting to get worried Trump will win despite the convictions.

Biden's electoral victory was only 44,000 votes in 2020 across a few states.

Joe's approval rate is down 10pts despite all he has accomplished.

Support from people of color and younger votes has declined. WHAT'S WRONG WITH THEM? DO THEY WANT 4 YEARS OF TRUMP?!

Trump is becoming a folk hero to these people. Look at the abuse he’s taken and he is still standing tall. We are witnessing greatness.

This is getting really old. I remember how during the whole impeachment thing, republicans were saying that we should settle this at the ballot box. So we do, and immediately we have J6 and republicans not accepting the verdict at the ballot box. We have another impeachment (about J6), and get told by republicans that impeachment is not the appropriate method and we should go through the legal system if Trump committed any crimes. So the legal system works and all of a sudden it’s political persecution. There is pretty much no way to hold Trump accountable that is legit in maga minds.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I'm nervous about the shifting fundraising advantage.

We raised $51M in April compared to orange man's $76M that month.

Then orange man raised $141M in May. Another $200M in the last three days.

DNC hasn't released May yet. Maybe we'll bounce back. I'm getting a horrible feeling here.

eh.. most of that will be going to pay Trump's legal bills rather than actually running the campaign for any R.

Anonymous wrote:Yougov just posted June 2nd through 4th.

Tied race, with trump +1% since week prior. I think they are a top pollster, which is frightening.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/

As of Monday afternoon, three national polls of registered voters, conducted entirely after the verdict, have been released.

Reuters/Ipsos found Biden leading Trump 41–39, a slight shift from the 40–40 tie it reported three weeks ago. (With a margin of error of +/- 2.1 percentage points, that’s still basically a tie.)

Forbes/HarrisX found Trump leading 51–49, a slight shift from the 50–50 tie it found in late March. (The poll’s margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. The reason those numbers are higher than Reuters/Ipsos’ is that they include “leaners,” who aren’t fully certain of their candidate choice.)

Morning Consult’s postverdict survey found Biden leading 45–44, a shift from the result of its previous weekly tracking poll (a 44–42 Trump lead) but still effectively a tie.

Add everything together, and Trump’s lead over Biden in the RealClearPolitics polling average has moved ever so slightly from 0.9 percent on the morning of the verdict to 0.5 percent as of Monday afternoon. What a roller coaster!

Anonymous wrote:I'm nervous about the shifting fundraising advantage.

We raised $51M in April compared to orange man's $76M that month.

Then orange man raised $141M in May. Another $200M in the last three days.

DNC hasn't released May yet. Maybe we'll bounce back. I'm getting a horrible feeling here.