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Reply to "Trump Approval Polls"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Still nowhere near enough the disapproval he should have. I assume there's a large cohort of people who just aren't paying attention; plus the large cohort of brain-washed zombies fed lies 24/7 by their rightwing ecosphere. The rightwing media is a pernicious poison: I was waiting at the arrivals gate at Dulles airport last weekend for a relative, and Newsmax was on the bloody TV screen of the bar. Very disappointing. [/quote] The other thing to wonder about is the actual numbers of people identifying as republicans and whether that is changing at all. If 60% of republicans approve but that 60% only accounts for 20% of the population. [/quote] The poll cited in the post above yours shows exactly that. It’s a 12 point swing. I wonder how or if they account for that in approval polls. If they keep assuming the same partisan split when they weight the poll it would end up overweighting republicans [/quote] Yes. Thank you for better articulating what I was grasping for! It would definitely be useful for pollsters to flesh that nuance out. [/quote] If you’ve ever been polled (I have, a bunch of times) they ask you your party and if you identify with one and if you lean toward one or the other as part of every poll.[/quote] Yes, they do that so they can weight final results. They don’t want over representation of one party or the other. The issue is what they use to figure out what the correct weighting is when there are large shifts in partisan identification over a pretty short time. If they are still using the split from Nov 2024 that’s going to hugely overweight republicans. [/quote]
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