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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Are there any non-biased folk on here that can give me a fully non partisan guess with sound reasoning as to who will win? I’m an Italian and don’t care about American politics but I love gambling so I want to place some bets. [/quote] No, there’s no one without biases. Michael Moore famously correctly called 2016 for Trump and is saying it’s going to be a blue tsunami this year (in fairness, he thought Romney would win one other year, so…). The Simon Rosenberg guy who keeps getting posted and ignored by Republicans is showing data for who has voted so far and so far the Democrats have a 4 million vote lead. The polls say the GOP is going to win, but there have been a number of partisan push polls with small sample sizes. Certainly if you were to listen to the “mainstream” media (I do not know if you are an Italian in Italy or an Italian in the US), they clearly want the GOP to win. In other words good luck on your betting, though as an American I’m not sure that I enjoy the idea of people betting for sport on whether or not my country will fall into fascism. You better than I know what it’s like to have that stain officially upon your country, but Black people and Native people in the US have definitely lived under fascist rule here. [/quote] I'm a French person living in the US, and I certainly would not bet on political outcomes - it feels unethical to play with results that will affect not just people living here, but also everyone else on the planet, given the outsize influence of the USA in the world. I bought a Powerball ticket instead :-) [/quote]
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