Reply to Would you support a hard shutdown option for two to four weeks to crush the virus?

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]

https://news.yahoo.com/hong-kong-leader-says-coronavirus-critical-100-cases-085636893.html

But the city had impressive success in tackling the disease, all but ending local transmissions by late June.

However, in the last two weeks, infections have spiked once more and doctors fear the new outbreak is now spreading undetected in the densely packed territory of 7.5 million people.

On Sunday chief executive Carrie Lam said more than 500 infections had been confirmed in the last fortnight alone, nearly a third since the outbreak began.[/quote]

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Hong Kong is worried about 500 new cases over a 14 day period.   That's an average of 35 new cases per day.   Hong Kong's population is 7 million.   35/7 million = 5/million

So they are FREAKING OUT over this large outbreak ---- FIVE NEW CASES PER MILLION PER DAY.

FIVE.

Maryland is at 125 new cases per million per day and we are still talking about whether we should cloe the bars.

Florida is at something like 500 new cases per million per day and they have Disneyworld open.

Hong Kong knows what the eff they are doing.  YOU DON'T GET TO COMPARE US WITH HONG KONG.

They did everything right, they shit spread down, and now, when they see local outbreaks they work hard to eradicate them.

NO STATE IN THE US IS EVEN CLOSE TO 5 NEW CASES PER MILLION PER DAY.

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+1[/quote]

Can you read?  It's not the 500 cases they're worried about.  That's the tip of the iceberg. They are admitting that they've lost control.

The problem is that 40% of the people who have the virus have no symptoms.  They're out spreading the virus around.  Once you lose control of the "trace" part of the spread of cases, there's no stopping it.  You'd have to test every single person basically every day.  So, for those 500 that they know about, there's another 300 or so who are out happily and asymptomatically spreading virus. So shutting down only works as long as you're shut down. The minute you reopen, those asymptomatic people go out again.

They stopped SARS because it had a long incubation period in which people weren't contagious, and then only became contagious when they were symptomatic. You could ID all of the symptomatic people, and then test and trace.  With covid, the spreaders can be anyone.  [/quote]

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