Reply to CORONAVIRUS/COVID-19 NEW MEGA THREAD

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]This may or may not be helpful but [b]the # of cases in the USA is proportionally similar to the # cases in Canada,[/b] where widespread testing is occurring.  About 4000 people have been tested in Ontario and around 3000 people have been tested in BC.

In Ontario, only 1% of people tested are positive so far (they are still waiting on 400 tests).
https://www.ontario.ca/page/2019-novel-coronavirus

Ontario lab can test 1000 samples per day, and turnaround time has been reduced to 6 h.At-home testing for the virus will now be made available.
https://www.theglobeandmail.com/canada/article-provinces-start-offering-in-home-testing-for-novel-coronavirus/

The US has roughly 10x the population in Canada.
There are 99 cases of coronavirus infection in Canada and 1016 cases in the US. So there are about 10 X the  number of cases in US compared to Canada, which would be expected.

The only difference right now is proportion of deaths - 1 person has died in Canada (1%) while 31 have died in the US (3%). The fatality in Canada was a gentleman in a nursing home in BC.  That either says something about the proportion of high risk individuals as cases in Canada versus USA - more high risk people in USA cases, or what stage people are being detected as being positive and/or how quickly they receive treatment.

[/quote]

But how do we know that's true if we're not testing?[/quote]

The number of cases detected so far, with a test, in the USA is about 10 the # in Canada, which IS doing testing. Since the US population is also roughly 10 the population in Canada, you would expect 10 x the number of cases.
Note: 99% of the tests being done in Canada are negative, ie no coronavirus infection.

All I’m saying is the situation in the US may not be as dire as you think if you do the math. But, this is NOT to say that testing shouldn’t be done! Please don’t freak out, internet. [/quote]

I want to point out that most of the US deaths are from one nursing home that got slammed hard and early. I think its 22 out of the 31 total deaths in the US are just that one home. If you consider it an outlier, then the US deaths are 9 with 1000+ positive. Which sort of makes it similar to Canada. [/quote]

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