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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]https://www.newsweek.com/nate-silver-says-polls-may-be-overestimating-trump-after-huge-miss-11000128

Nate Silver Says Polls May Be ‘Overestimating’ Trump After ‘Huge’ Miss

Silver, in his Silver Bulletin newsletter, lamented on polls being “not great,” particularly in New Jersey. A flurry of them released before Election Day showed a tight race between Democratic Governor-elect Mikie Sherrill and Republican Jack Ciattarelli. Real Clear Politics’ aggregate gave Sherrill only a 3-point advantage.

But Sherrill ended up winning by a much larger margin. She held a 13-point lead over Ciattarelli with 95 percent of the vote in, meaning she performed 10 points stronger than polls predicted. She also outperformed former Vice President Kamala Harris in the state. In November 2024, Harris only carried New Jersey by about 6 points in the presidential election—a disappointing result compared to past Oval Office candidates.[/quote]

What does he mean by "overestimating" - that even more people dislike Trump? Or he has more support?[/quote]

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