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Metropolitan DC Local Politics
Reply to "Elrich Now in the Lead"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Here's what I don't understand - how has Marc Elrich gotten MORE of the share of votes from 2018? In 2018, he won (barely) with 29%, and now he has over 39%? All I hear about is people who have always hated Elrich of people who voted for him last time but didn't this time. So how has he gotten MORE votes? Who are these people voting for him?[/quote] Incumbency/name recognition [/quote] +1. Plus it was a very crowded field last time, those voters had to go somewhere. Any read in where we are with the vote counting? Any chance it will swing back in Blair’s favor again or is this where Elrich starts to pull away?[/quote] It might swing back. But I take nothing for granted. If you look at what was counted yesterday based on Council districts, there were larger percentages of votes from districts 4 and 6. These didn't seem to favor Elrich, whose percentage holds close to 39-40% each day. But Riemer did better the past few days. And that ate into Blair's % of votes. For example, District 4 (Mink) has averaged about 19.2% of the mail-in votes. Yesterday, it averaged 23%. So if they are counting more downcounty votes, that's not really favoring Elrich, but it is hurting Blair. So today and tomorrow are critical. If they are more balanced across the county, Blair possibly has a shot. If they favor upcounty and west county a bit more, Blair has a good possibility of winning. Provisionals are counted on Friday, and I think they will significantly favor Blair. The question is whether that advantage is enough to overcome what Elrich has gotten in the past few days. [/quote]
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