Reply to What would an at-risk preference do? New MSDC research paper out

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]There are 16 DCPS and charter schools 10% or less at-risk students now (based on the 2018-19 enrollment audit). Adult-ed or alternative programs are not included.

A question mark means that there are fewer than 10 at-risk students enrolled, so a percentage cannot be calculated. https://osse.dc.gov/node/1306796

Brent 4.2% at risk
Deal 6.7% 
Eaton 6.0%
Eliot Hine 4%
Hearst 6%
Janney ?
Key ?
Lafayette 2.8%
Maury 2.2%
Mann ?
Murch 4.1%
Oyster-Adams 10%
Peabody ?
Ross ?
School within a School ?
Stoddert 3.4%

BASIS DC 8.5%
LAMB 9%
Lee Montessori 10%
Mundo Verde 9.1%
Washington Latin MS 6.2%
Yu Ying PCS 4.4%

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Thanks for posting this, it's good to have some real numbers to work on. I went to the link you posted and worked with the numbers. I got 15 schools that are currently below 10%, including five with fewer than 10 students. They are:
Brent Elementary School
Deal Middle School
Eaton Elementary School
Hearst Elementary School
Janney Elementary School
Key Elementary School
Lafayette Elementary School
Mann Elementary School
Maury Elementary School
Murch Elementary School @ UDC
Peabody Elementary School (Capitol Hill Cluster)
Roosevelt STAY High School
Ross Elementary School
School-Within-School @ Goding
Stoddert Elementary School

For simplicity's sake i just treated the schools below 10 as if they had zero. Those 15 schools currently have 7696 students and 281 at-risk. To get them all to 10% they'd have to have 770 students at-risk, or 489 more.

Overall DCPS has 20,963 at-risk students, 45% of the student body. Those 489 represent slightly over 2% of the students at risk. I'm sure that for those kids it would make a big change in their lives, but it's hard to see how this initiative makes a meaningful dent in the problem.  
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There would be a follow-on effect in later years as those kids' siblings began to take advantage of sibling preference.  And the very slight nudging of high-income kids into less desirable schools might positively impact those schools.[/quote]

I'm not sure I follow. The siblings would still count toward the 10% at-risk, they'd just be taking seats from other at-risk kids. [/quote]

The point is that the sibling effect could put some schools over the 10% mark after a few years of getting established.  [/quote]

At which point the preference would go away until the school was back below 10%. [/quote]

Was there something in the paper that I missed about a 10% cap or trigger for the preference or is this your personal solution?[/quote]

10% was the number proposed during the last boundary review. [/quote]

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