Reply to 26-27 Lottery data up

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Reply to "26-27 Lottery data up "

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Does anyone understand why there is such a big gap between the number of applications on results day and the number of the waitlist? e.g. 5th grade basis 360 matched (140) or were waitlisted (220) out of 450 applications. This leaves 90 unaccounted for.

I assumed it was because students are not put on the waitlist if the school is listed lower in their ranking than the school they matched at. e.g. student matched at latin which is listed 1st is not waitlist at basis.

If this were true you would expect schools which are generally considered more desirable to have *fewer* unaccounted for applicants (i.e. almost everyone would be on the waitlist if they did not match). Because they would have fewer schools ranked above that school. But that is not the case. e.g. 
- Basis has 90 unaccounted for or a ratio of 0.8 between (matched+waitlist)/total applicants
- Latin 2nd street has 142 unaccounted for or a ratio of 0.79 
- Latin cooper has 140 unaccounted for or a ratio of 0.78
- deal for 6th 187 unaccounted for or a ratio of 0.62[/quote]

That is interesting. My two theories would be that if you got into one, you had a good lottery number definitionally, so if there were a lot of people who put those as their top three but in different exact combinations that could be some of it.

Other theory would be people who don’t understand how the lottery works who think putting a competitive school high lowers their match chances.

But those are just theories, would be curious if anyone knows. [/quote]

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