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[quote=Anonymous]Of the factors kicked around on this thread:

*The "demographic cliff" is basically flat--it's not going to have any impact at all from one year to the next, especially at the most selective schools.

*Fewer international applicants--this is real, and it will create the appearance of easier admissions at a lot of places, but that apparent loosening will be mostly a mirage at most/all of the most selective schools. That's because those schools accept truly tiny numbers of international applicants (Amherst, e.g., accepted 1238 of 13743 total applicants, but only 150 of the 5664 of those applicants who were international, https://www.amherst.edu/system/files/C%20First-Time%2C%20First-Year%20Admission_4.pdf ), so cutting international applicant numbers in half would increase the headline acceptance rate percentages without actually increasing the likelihood that any particular domestic applicant is accepted. The dynamic obviously is different at places where international applicants are accepted at rates approximating domestic applicants. At those schools--which include a decent number of flagships--acceptance standards actually will be loosened a bit.

*Expanding class sizes--where it's real, it matters. That's just math. It's not happening at most of the most selective schools.

*Full pay--matters a lot more than it did a year ago (i.e., before Trump slashed all the research funding he could find) almost everywhere.[/quote]

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