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Reply to "Are more farmers, small business owners, cargo and construction trade people turning on Trump?"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Many people believe that the tariffs will work. Europe, China, Canada, Japan and Mexico will beg the US for forgiveness, tear down all of their tariff and non-tariff barriers, de-industrailize themselves, and all manufacturing will move to the US in record time. I do believe that many Trump supporters think this is how the story will play out.[/quote] Super interesting discussion with Trump voters in the NYTs a couple days ago. Do they think tariffs work? They were split, but willing to give them a chance. Are they willing to endure short term pain while tarriffs work? Yes, they say they are. When asked to define the “short term pain,” they would endure, most landed in the range of 2-3 months. Which is absolutely long enough to change supply chains and build factories and train works /s. (To produce goods that will be more expensive. By that metric, Trump has until about mid to late summer to reinvent American manufacturing. Good luck with that. Especially since no one is investing in factories when Tru ps tariff policy is so erratic. They’ll just wait him out. By Christmas, when their kids missed summer vacation (gas proaces) and cheap plastic cr@p has tripled in prince and they can’t afford Christmas dinner, they will be well past “short term pain” and have learned a hard lesson about tarriffs. Until then, logic and “it takes 5-10 tears to bring a factory (that will be automated and employ white collar folks to maintain the robots, but not you)” isn’t going anywhere with the cult. It will take hunger and kids without Christmas presents. [/quote] I agree with this PP. There is the Trump cult, those are the rallies attendees, red hat wearers who voted for hate and racism. But prob at least half of Trump voters voted almost solely on the assumption that Trump = more $$$ for them through tax cuts, lower prices, higher markets, more jobs, etc. They are saying they can endure "short term pain" because no one likes to admit they were wrong and Trump voters also like to act tough. But after 2-3 months, they will be gone. If you ask Chinese citizens who support their government (many don't) how long they could endure a trade war, they would say years, not less than a quarter. [/quote]
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