Reply to Keep Glover Park & Stoddert Together

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Reply to "Keep Glover Park & Stoddert Together"

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]
The truth is as that petition says that DCPS's current plan to build a large school at Foxhall (and not expand seats at Stoddert) would require kids from Glover Park to travel 2 miles to fill it.  
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It's true that the petition says that. And it's true that the petition is wrong.

Go to this article: https://ggwash.org/view/71802/can-dcps-survive-the-coming-enrollment-surge  Scroll down to the map and look at the enrollment projections by school. By 2027 Key is projected to be 148 over capacity and Mann is 127. Stoddert is a relatively minor player in the picture at 65 kids over capacity.

So just Key and Mann are 275 over capacity in five years. But that assumes everything stays the same. At both schools there is no PK3 and only enough PK4 seats for about half the families that want them. Both schools will be in the high 500's enrollment, which means about 80 kids per grade. Going to full PK3 and PK4 adds about 80 PK3 and 40 PK4 kids to each school, 120 kids per school, 240 kids. Add that to the 275 and you get 535.  DCPS is saying the new school will be 550 seats. DCPS considers any school over 85% utilization to be full, this school will be at 97.3% utilization.

With zero kids from Stoddert.[/quote]

The trouble with this - other than as described in the petition at the start that DCPS said they were going to take some of Stoddert - is that the Key and Mann kids you describe don't live near the Foxhall school.  I don't have data on where those kids live, but you can see that the example boundary DCPS analyzed which grabbed the obvious chunks of Key and Mann, there were only ~175 kids within 2 miles of the Foxhall school who would be going to a nearer school than they currently do.  See Meeting 2, Slides 18-20 https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/17d7ZYwYlkVre4sc4EiH3SWpU-FL5zvj_

I assume most of the Key/Mann kids live in the denser parts of the Palisades or the Wisconsin and Massachusetts corridors.  They don't live in the rural corner of the city.  So yes, if you force all the Key and Mann families from their closer schools to commute to the bottom of the city, it would be possible to fill the school.  You can see why DCPS thinks Stoddert is closer than someone who lives on Chain Bridge.  In the real world, if you want all these kids to go to Foxhall the school would need to be located somewhere else somewhere more centrally located.

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