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Reply to "St. James holding tryout for Futsal"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]An actual scientist would have to conclude that, despite all the brouhaha, we actually still don't know how many fatalities it has caused. The data (whether cases, fatalities or excess deaths) is [b]all[/b] highly problematic for all sorts of reasons. It is reasonably clear however that the fatality rate is well below 1% - it could be as high as 0.6%, or it could be below 0.1%. My guess is that it's toward the lower end of that range - probably around 0.2%-0.3%, but no-one knows for sure.[/quote] So you are saying there are problems with the actual scientists numbers but you have better numbers?[/quote] No. I'm saying that the numbers allow for a range. I doubt you'll find scientists still arguing for anything outside that range - which is obviously much lower than the numbers that were front and center a few months ago. Within that range I'm estimating (hence the words "My guess is") the actual fatality rate. I have reasons for my guess - but implicit in those reasons are some assumptions that would need to be scientifically tested to turn my estimate into something closer to proof. And I certainly could turn out to be wrong. I'm also saying that anyone can be a scientist - there's no such thing as an "actual scientist" in the way that you seem to be implying. It's a way of thinking rather than a job title. There are plenty of people who work at universities, research institutes and in government who have the job title "scientist", but are not scientists. Equally there are scientists who do not hold such positions. Albert Einstein is perhaps the best known example of a man who revolutionized science while his job title was patent clerk. [/quote]
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