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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]FCPS wanted to reduce LJ's enrollment, but they've reduced the white enrollment by 28% in just one year and the Asian enrollment by 28% in just one year, while the Hispanic enrollment declined by less than half that amount (13%).  On average, white and Asian kids come from families with more resources and are more likely to participate in AAP.  It doesn't bode well for LJ or its AAP program.

FCPS could have learned from its experience at Poe, where pulling kids from single-family neighborhoods out of the school accelerated flight from the school.  Now they have an under-enrolled school that's over 70% FARMS - very different from Poe's student profile before all the boundary changes.  FCPS apparently convinced itself that things would be different at LJ because it's an AAP center, but the data is telling a different story. [/quote]

How do you know those demographic percentages?  They aren't yet published on the school profiles.[/quote]

Go to the school profile, click on the Demographics tab, and then click on the Student Ethnic and Gender tab.  The information has been updated monthly through October 2018 and includes data going back to 2003-04.  [/quote]

I appreciate the link -- but here's the data at Jackson:

2017-18            2018-19

Asian     25.0%                23.8%
Black       7.6%                  5.6%
Hisp       36.4%                40.7%
White     26.0%                24.4%

Seems to me that Jackson is pretty close to what it was before the rezoning.  A small shift, but nothing dramatic.  And yes, the rezoning is not fully implemented, but it is more than 50% implemented b/c about 75 rising 8th graders shifted as well as all the rezoned 7th graders.  I guess all the wailing and gnashing of teeth was unfounded.[/quote]

The other information was data as well.  Stay tuned.  We've seen this movie before at Poe, courtesy of the FCPS School Board. 
[/quote]

yes, but it was meaningless and misleading.   OF COURSE the actual number of ____ kids declined b/c they were moving kids out.  That is the whole purpose of rezoning.  To say that the total enrollment of Asian or White or whatever declined 28% is very deceptive.  The whole school's enrollment DECLINED by roughly 25% -- b/c it was overcrowded.  The PERCENTAGES of each group are actually pretty close to what they were before the rezoning.  They are actually a lot closer than I expected them to be.  If you lop off 300 kids, (out of 1400+) -- you are going to get "data" that enrollment decreased!  But, percentages of each group --- not such a dramatic statement.  [/quote]

Right. The overall enrollment declined, which was the goal, and the decline in the white and Asian enrollments in percentage terms was over twice that of the decline of the Hispanic population, which on balance is poorer and less represented in AAP than the school as a whole.  If you think that doesn’t have implications for LJ in the future, you again need to pay closer attention to what happened at Poe, where the School Board took what it viewed as the path of least resistance and moved higher-income areas to other schools (Lake Braddock and Frost), only to precipitate a greater enrollment decline than planned and a considerably higher FARMS rate. [/quote]

The percentage of Asian kids went from 25% of the population (before rezoing) to 23.8% of the population after rezoning.  The percentage of white kids at LJ went from 26% before the rezoning to 24.4% after the rezoning.  What is your beef?  (that's a rhetorical question).

Anyway.... OP wants to know about THOREAU.  So, let's get back to that.  [/quote]

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