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General Parenting Discussion
Reply to "Would you eat out with unvaccinated kids"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Yes. Jesus Christ are people this mental? There are about 52,000 things you do every day without thinking that are statistically more dangerous to your kids than covid. Let them live a regular life already!![/quote] Americans are terrible at risk assessment. In a recent survey, Americans thought that your chance of dying after contracting covid were 17%. Your kids are more at risk from dying in a car accident on the way to the restaurant, then they are from catching COVID there and dying. [/quote] Americans-- like all humans-- are terrible at understanding [i]statistics[/i], and large and small numbers. A 1-2% chance of death is very high! Therefore many Americans, having correctly assessed the COVID is quite deadly, have (wrongly) assigned it a number much higher than is actually accurate-- because 1-2% "sounds low." It's not. If you had a 1-2% chance of dying every time you bought ice cream or took the subway, you would never do either of those things. In any event, the risk involved with kids has never so much been them dying, but of them being disease vectors to the more vulnerable, somewhere down the chain. This may also not be an extremely high risk as compared to others-- but it's significant. [/quote] The 1-2% chance of death is based on the number of confirmed cases of covid, not the actual number, which is probably four times the confirmed number. So, the real rate is probably around 0.25% to 0.5%. And, no, that doesn’t mean that you have that percentage chance of dying every time you leave the house. Furthermore, the fatality rate is not uniform across the population. For my age group, it’s less this 0.1%. So, long story short, the risk to our family from going to a restaurant is exceedingly low. If your personal risk is higher, you may want to make different decisions. But, it’s not my role to make risk calculations for other people.[/quote]
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