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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]
Right. Cases per 100,000 is one metric but that's why you have to look at ALL of these with this virus, because of the high-ish number of very mild cases (and I mean truly mild, not just "not hopsitalized".) Because even if you have a very high number of people per 100,000 testing positive, if a significant number of those are asymptomatic or truly mild, you do not need to shut down your economy again. [/quote]

It's looking like the places (countries, states) that are doing best with COVID are those that are getting their numbers down to two things:

- New cases per 100,000 per day of 1 or fewer
- percent positive of tests at 2% or lower
- testing a large number of people each day

All three things work together to validate that there are few cases going around and that things can get back to normal and you can "reopen your economy".

If we try to "reopen the economy" too early (before those low levels have been reached) we won't be able to use contact tracing when we have outbreaks, and this is going to drag on and on and on and on and on.

Getting down to 5% positivity and 4 new cases per 100,000 per day apparently isn't good enough, which is why MD is having trouble now.
[/quote]

What is Maryland having trouble with exactly? Because as far as I can tell, hospitalizations are still low and manageable... [/quote]

Hospitalizations and deaths are lagging from number of cases.  So when you start to see an increase in the number of cases (mid July) 2 - 4 weeks later (ie, just about now or the next week or so) you'll see increase in hospiatlizations, and two weeks or so after that, increase in deaths.
It's so dangerous to ignore increasing cases and increasing positivity rate just beacuse hospitalizations haven't (yet) started increasing.[/quote]

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