Reply to Why is Maryland "Trending Poorly" on covidexit?

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]https://www.wbal.com/article/index/471709?title=Gov-Hogan-Announces-Expanded-Statewide-Mask-Order-Issues-Out-of-State-Travel-Advisory

[quote]The state is strongly advising against out-of-state travel to states where the positivity rate is above 10%, which, as of Wednesday, includes Alabama, Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Louisiana, Nebraska, South Carolina and Texas.

"I directed the Maryland Department of Health to issue a public health advisory for all out-of-state travel. We are strongly advising against any travel to or from states with positivity rates of 10% or higher," Hogan said. "We are very concerned. We can't stop people from crossing the borders. Things are pretty much out of control in some of these states."

This public health advisory applies to personal, family or business travel. Anyone traveling to or from these states should get tested and self-quarantine.
[/quote]

[quote]Starting at 5 p.m. Friday, Maryland is expanding the statewide mask order, requiring face masks in public spaces of all businesses and in outdoor public areas whenever it is not possible to maintain physical distancing, Hogan said.

"Wearing a mask is the single-best mitigation strategy that we have to fight the virus, and the science and the data are very clear: It's the best way to keep you and your family safe, to keep people out of the hospital and to keep Maryland open for business," Hogan said.[/quote]

Hogan still seems focused only on the positivity rate, probably because Maryland's seems low.  Not one is talking about the rate of new cases per day per 100,000 -- which is why MD got dinged from so many North Eastern states.

MD's rate of new cases per day is really high, and our (at the moment) low-ish positivity rate is going to rise to reflect that very soon.[/quote]

The positivity rate is down because lots of non symptom/low risk people are getting tested for travel and college.  That was not happening a month ago.[/quote]

Right. Cases per 100,000 is one metric but that's why you have to look at ALL of these with this virus, because of the high-ish number of very mild cases (and I mean truly mild, not just "not hopsitalized".) Because even if you have a very high number of people per 100,000 testing positive, if a significant number of those are asymptomatic or truly mild, you do not need to shut down your economy again. [/quote]

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