Reply to Gov Hogan announcement re schools this week?

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]NY state just added Maryland to their list of states from which you can't come to NY (or you have to quarantine for 14 days).  I thought Maryland was doing well.  What are they basing this on???[/quote]

I've been TELLING you guys all through this thread that Maryland was not on the right course.    I was called an idiot a few times, I think.

People in MD have been too focused on LATE indicators like hospitalization and death.  And they have been overly focused on testing positivity percent.

To keep spread under control, most states and countries have settled on watching the following metrics:

1) New cases per million per day of under 20   (new cases per 100,000 per day of under 2)

2) Percent positivity of less than 2%

3) Testing widely (not sure exactly how this is measured -- on www.covidexitstrategy.org they have a target set and testing 100% of that target or better yet 150% is a good thing[)

States that are getting put on NY/NJ/CT quarantine list are doing badly on the above measures.   Their new cases per million per day are more than 100   (more than 10 per 100,000)    Their positivity rate is higher than 10%.

Maryland has about 120 new cases per million per day and it is rising fast.   Yeah our positivity rate is 5% or so but we aren't going to be able to stay there much longer because we have more and more new cases.[/quote]

+1, right there with you on the important stats.  [/quote]

+2. It has been so frustrating watching this happen and seeing Hogan do nothing but go on talk shows to promote himself.[/quote]

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